The percentage changes during this crash since the top have been larger than 1987's and even 1929's

The longs have to get scared out/margin called out big time, I don't see that happening here unless there is some kind of shock event. Rates aren't going to do it, likely will cause some choppy volatility or even a down move but I don't think it'd cause an all out crash.
 
kj5159 said:
The longs have to get scared out/margin called out big time, I don't see that happening here unless there is some kind of shock event. Rates aren't going to do it, likely will cause some choppy volatility or even a down move but I don't think it'd cause an all out crash.
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1929- 30's is more likely, if they keep on with stupid Smoot-Hawley, but those were on much more than China . But both 1929+ 1987 started around SEPT:D; and the GE bears sell/ front run Sept.LOL NOT a prediction.....
 
It took almost a year before everything went to complete crap in 2007 after the initial warning signs. You're going to burn up a lot of time and possibly capital trying to go after it.

What's the catalyst even going to be?
 
The 2000 NDX100 (QQQ/NQ) post market top had moves about 3 times as large as what we have now with 5%-10% up & down days routine in the weeks & months thereafter with some days ranging over 18%.

On our current market the Dow was the leadership, than it was the NDX - a real bad sign to not have all the indexes participating - this shows a narrowing of leadership. The larger volatility implies distribution has already happened & is what a market looks like when the big operators are no longer in control of the price, the weaker hands are now in charge.

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comagnum said:
The 2000 NDX100 (QQQ/NQ) post market top had moves about 3 times as large as what we have now with 5%-10% up & down days routine in the weeks & months thereafter with some days ranging over 18%.

On our current market the Dow was the leadership, than it was the NDX - a real bad sign to not have all the indexes participating - this shows a narrowing of leadership. The larger volatility implies distribution has already happened & is what a market looks like when the big operators are no longer in control of the price, the weaker hands are now in charge.

View attachment 184085
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Speaking of the Nasdaq, it peaked after the initial decline during both '87 and now unlike the general market.

That is a characteristic of this kind of crash.
 
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