The peak is going to be an extended plateau
- Thread starter Pekelo
- Start date
4% of the world's population and yet 25% of the virus dead. Death count goes up, stays up, you can't explain that.
1 person's death is tragedy, 300K is statistics. This is a simple accounting thread about my prediction of the death numbers being a long plateau, instead of a peak. I have been right. That your kind doesn't like the truth, not my problem....
Here is a description about Iowa reopening bars. The bar was full, no social distancing, hardly anybody had mask on.
Now THAT is a macabre picture.
No proof yet, but not long before a whistle blower come out saying how we've started fudging the numbers; that curve sure taking a steep decline this week:
: DR. DEBORAH BIRX: So, I think in this country we've taken a very liberal approach to mortality. And I think the reporting here has been pretty straightforward over the last five to six weeks. Prior to that when there wasn't testing in January and February that's a very different situation and unknown.
There are other countries that if you had a preexisting condition and let's say the virus caused you to go to the ICU and then have a heart or kidney problem some countries are recording as a heart issue or a kidney issue and not a COVID-19 death. Right now we are still recording it and we will I mean the great thing about having forms that come in and a form that has the ability to market as COVID-19 infection the intent is right now that those if someone dies with COVID-19 we are counting that as a COVID-19 death.
So someone's whose heart was perfectly adequate for daily activities should not be marked as COVID casualty even if their heart overexerted itself trying to oxygenate a body w/failing lungs? Kidneys shutting down having to clear a drug cocktail brought about by COVID doesn't count?
: DR. DEBORAH BIRX: So, I think in this country we've taken a very liberal approach to mortality. And I think the reporting here has been pretty straightforward over the last five to six weeks. Prior to that when there wasn't testing in January and February that's a very different situation and unknown.
There are other countries that if you had a preexisting condition and let's say the virus caused you to go to the ICU and then have a heart or kidney problem some countries are recording as a heart issue or a kidney issue and not a COVID-19 death. Right now we are still recording it and we will I mean the great thing about having forms that come in and a form that has the ability to market as COVID-19 infection the intent is right now that those if someone dies with COVID-19 we are counting that as a COVID-19 death.
So someone's whose heart was perfectly adequate for daily activities should not be marked as COVID casualty even if their heart overexerted itself trying to oxygenate a body w/failing lungs? Kidneys shutting down having to clear a drug cocktail brought about by COVID doesn't count?
No, the plateau was around 1500-2000. We are at the lower end around 1000ish, but looks like this won't stop and we will have another lower extended plateau, because of new cases after reopening.
plateaus don't have negative slopes
I don't want to start a new thread, so just continuing here. After 300ish on Sunday and under 600 dead on Monday, Tuesday saw an uptick in death numbers with 1093. We are hitting the days after reopening where the new cases are going to turn to new death.
I expect the next 2 weeks to go back to the steady around 1000-1200 dead days. Some states will reconsider lock down, although I don't think that will happen state wide, but could happen locally.
The second wave is here, with very little mask wearing, social distancing. Murica, yeah!!!
I expect the next 2 weeks to go back to the steady around 1000-1200 dead days. Some states will reconsider lock down, although I don't think that will happen state wide, but could happen locally.
The second wave is here, with very little mask wearing, social distancing. Murica, yeah!!!
airlines got wrecked these last two days. Don't know if that's the reason or WSB just getting bored and moving on to the next meme stocks