The peak is going to be an extended plateau

Here4money said:
I think the new case count is a better metric at this point as morgue results come in.
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It'll be approx 0.1% fatality rate, maybe 0.075% at best over all on the country, not 4.8% like there claiming thankfully.

So Look at the Worldometer data.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

Basically means everywhere is going to get to around 1000 deaths per million +/- 200, NYC is over the peak at 552 deaths per million, it'll still hit the 1000 sadly.

So 300K +/- 50K that's the reality. 4.8% would be 15,000,000 area

UK looking to do better 0.05% area. Sweden around the same 0.04% area. Italy about 0.06% older population, Spain 0.07% over stretched health care system.

If you lock it down hard, it'll still get to the 0.1% later, just slower.


Why is the USA looking 2x's as bad as the UK ??


Obviously can't tell, till the end of all this, but fair assumptions above.
 
"Multiple governors said Wednesday that their states are nowhere near opening, with some warning their coronavirus cases had yet to peak. Trump cited good news of a slowing curve in Washington, DC. But Mayor Muriel Bowser on Wednesday extended the district's state of emergency until May 15. Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti told CNN he might ban sports events until 2021. "
 
Forget about this pandemic. How are Prince Harry and Rachel doing? Is she still Meghan? Tom Hanks? He was the first to figure out the benefits of victimhood, Prince Charles and Boris were too late. STASI Tussi Angela played her cards best of them all.
As for our governments everywhere, they are in reactive management mode, no master plan of any sort.
 
Pekelo said:
If it was up to me, in a week I would let young healthy people to go back and start businesses. If we can send them to wars, we can send them back to work. It could be a volunteer thing, (nobody is forced) but the economy has to open up. Also if everyone is distancing, nobody is getting immunity, and we need people to get a small load so eventually we will have people with anti-bodies. Sure there will be death, but much less than a sudden opening up the workforce for everybody. Old people and immuno compromised ones stay quarantined longer.
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Best plan I have come across so far. Even better than Trump's. :thumbsup:

To put things in perspective, annual death in the US was ~2.8M, flu ~56,000... If not for the hospitalization rate and long recovery, this is manageable, now that we have a potential viable treatment that reduce death and lower hospitalization rate and shorten recovery time.

You should run for office. :finger:
 
ironchef said:
Best plan I have come across so far.
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Thanks, but it is really just common sense.

2174 dead yesterday, just like I thought the plateau is going to be around 2000. Wuhan suddenly acknowledged 50% more dead. My personal guess is 20+K for China (based on urn orders) compared to their 3.5K stated dead (4632 after the recalibration).
 
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