The trouble with historical testing is, for the most part, it weighs everything equally.
$SPX Aug, 2021:-
View attachment 291826
Looks fine to me. Now Sept is another story.
That was my other point that I forgot to include.That was the QE era with no inflation and no war. 12 months later it is a different story. I have to believe that the inflation prints are going to continue to soften, so the chart Q3-4 this year will look a bit different.
That was my other point that I forgot to include.
How in good God's name (1st time I think I'm using the expression online - watch for the lightning) can the last 14 years or so since 2008 with QEternity in place be compared to say 1986 or 1954 or 2002 or .... or .... or ....? Can't.
Today's price action should lead to an easy 0.40% gain overnight. Buy the cash close. Bought MNQ for the overnight drift higher.
View attachment 292219
Why are you not pushing the overnight drift higher tonight, Rick? Find some crystal ball that says GTFO?