Quote from kubchaser:
Hi everyone! I just became a member on this forum. This thread about Fibonacci is quite intriguing so I decided to respond.
I am a new trader. I am still experimenting different trading styles and times frames. While working full-time, I tend to favour swing to position trading.
I tend to believe that Fibonacci is a theory on behaviour with a mix of "self-fulling prophecy" and "crowd behaviour", as it is one of the most famous retracement and progression theories. For example, as price goes up to a certain level, some traders will be tempted to sell to take profits (so price retraces). Depending on the degree of retracement and VOLUME (to me volume is more important than Fibo retracements), some traders will jump in to help support the price movement; and hence price continues to advance upward (in the case of longing). Perhaps it is the collective human behaviour (hence statistics) that results this famous retracement theory: retracements at 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% level.
If find Fibo works best when it meets strong resistance/support level (and in conjunction with volume). Fibo (and many other theories) does not work well when "crisis" causes the market to shake. Ie. Last Thursday's dramatic swing in the market. So under normal circumstances, traders who use Fibo retracements will focus on buying/selling at the important retracement levels (and hence the price moves cuz of human expectation).
Oh well.. what do I know? LOL I am only starting to trade.
Happy Trading!