the Nut Trade in stock (comparable to the Nut hand in poker)

Hi everybody,
Got a chance to look at Twitter stock today, and i gonna make the Nut Sell call on it briefly .

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short term
SELL TWITTER (TWTR)
Base 73
Bonus 75-76
Must Touch 67-67.5


Note: This new stock gain really good upward momentum after initial run after ipo, but it is safe to sell from bonus area of 75-76 for a good pullback if it can reach this area from 69 at the moment. Twitter can get as low as 60 upon enough downward pressure.
The Nut BUY will appear upon initial medium term correction if 55-51 can be touch.
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Quote from marketdecoder:

Hi everybody,
Got a chance to look at Twitter stock today, and i gonna make the Nut Sell call on it briefly .

-----
short term
SELL TWITTER (TWTR)
Base 73
Bonus 75-76
Must Touch 67-67.5


Note: This new stock gain really good upward momentum after initial run after ipo, but it is safe to sell from bonus area of 75-76 for a good pullback if it can reach this area from 69 at the moment. Twitter can get as low as 60 upon enough downward pressure.
The Nut BUY will appear upon initial medium term correction if 55-51 can be touch.
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More...

You gotta stop with this shit. So you short at 73 and double-up at 75. Where's the stop? Why don't you give this order not-held to your broker and listen to him/her tell you to go f*ck yourself.

What's wrong with you ppl?
 
Hi drownpruf,
I am terribly sorry about not posting the Stop, i forgot the same thing when posting facebook as well. The stop is what really determine me being right or wrong at this point, so it is very relevant, though upon officializing the full specs of trading on sure pullback, there will be less need on it, but during this time, it is a must on my behalf. The Bonus entry is not just 2 time, it is 2-5 times. For example, Base range 100 shares, then Bonus range accumulation will be extra 200-500 shares.
So i am reposting the Nut call on sell TWTR again. For the record drownpruf, your pissing off is justified, though i would appreciate if you can express with a lesser extent, and it is my fault for forgetting to post the Stop.

-----
short term
SELL TWITTER (TWTR)
Base 73
Bonus 75-76
STOP 80
Must Touch 67-67.5


Note: This new stock gain really good upward momentum after initial run after ipo, but it is safe to sell from bonus area of 75-76 for a good pullback if it can reach this area from 69 at the moment. Twitter can get as low as 60 upon enough downward pressure.
The Nut BUY will appear upon initial medium term correction if 55-51 can be touch.
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Gapping is a b*tch , i might say about stock, depend on whether you would say it happily if shorting it on friday before my call , or you are waiting to short on monday per entry waiting. Anyway, it dropped pretty quick to 64 area earlier today. At this point, I will continue to monitor TWTR occasionally for any trade afterward on both buy and sell, but this look to be an exciting mover the next few weeks. Will make another call this weekend on others that i can find.
 
TWTR dropped to area of 60 as noted on previous call if weaken further and now it fit a real quick short term BUY from here to tomorrow.
----
now 60.8
BUY TRENDED / VERY SHORT TERM

Base: 59
Bonus: 57.5-55
STOP 50
MUST TOUCH: 62.5-62
Timeframe: 1 day

Note: medium term buy is awaiting from 55-52 area if touched, will make call upon touching and last double check.. this call hope to make up the gapping one .

---------------
 
i 'll monitor closely the price distortion in TWTR today after FOMC announcement to see how big news distort stock price in real time, and if needed , i will adjust the must touch by about 0.5-1 points if the distortion is too much downward. it is not wise of me to make a call on big news day, but it is a valuable experience to see real time of the distortion to make adjustment once for all down the road. After 10 calls, i should be more decisive with the target in stock on pullback force .
 
Quote from marketdecoder:

i 'll monitor closely the price distortion in TWTR today after FOMC announcement to see how big news distort stock price in real time, and if needed , i will adjust the must touch by about 0.5-1 points if the distortion is too much downward. it is not wise of me to make a call on big news day, but it is a valuable experience to see real time of the distortion to make adjustment once for all down the road. After 10 calls, i should be more decisive with the target in stock on pullback force .
More...

All this pseudoanalysis and you've yet to get one fill off.
 
Hi drownpruf,
You got a very valid point, except in case of Facebook for stock. The first step Now is to establish the consistency of directional correctness on pullback and its closeness approaching to the must touch price in stock. Upon establishing that after 10 calls, i can assure you, it is actionable price the moment i give out the call. Meaning our entry will get more aggressive, rather then waiting for it.
But to assure the Least amount of heat taken before the pullback occur, it will require more patience on my part before giving out actionable price right away the moment i give out. It best that i am the only one who wait, rather than give out early then everybody wait. It is like a very slow motion movie, and "this 's suck" waiting part, i understand for those who want instant action. So that is on the agenda after first 10 calls.

P.S. in the mean time, within this 10 calls, it also give me the experience to better adjust to the shorter trading time frame that affect ticks count greatly (that determine the estimated timeframe given for the run), gapping nature of stock, price distortion level in stock to big news. So during this time, i may need to adjust the must touch price, but will not by much. After 10 calls, it will be much more decisive and more aggressive entry.
 
I'd go hungry waiting for your calls to fill. I've made over 100 trades since you began posting these threads and I am anything but high-freq.
 
I take it that you are a short term day trader and scalping with quick trade. If i am to engage more in stock on daily basis, i can give those quick call on daily basis, but at this point, it is more of medium to long term that i give on weekend. This one of Buy on twitter is to make up for the gapping beginning of the week, that i give on weekday upon seeing its move to decent area in this week time frame for a quick short term BUY with pullback upward expected tomorrow (latest Friday) from the entry i posted.

Everybody has his or her own system of entry, mine is base and bonus that i believe if you fully utilize it in combination with my analysis, you will find it is very consistent in winning with safety built in on execution. You may miss a few trades, but that would be nothing compare to the heat you endured for getting in the wrong price at the wrong time with big volume, then resulting in shaking loss afterward if market doesn't like your entry.

It take me a while, but i made my choice of being selectively consistent with high level of certainty than being frequent with some level of uncertainty.

The safety is where your bonus is being entered at best level (according to my analysis) with the willingness to exit upon reasonable profit, and do that multiple times if market allow you to re-enter, rather than wait 1 time to target. In short, it will further require you to sacrifice expected full run, for the fully controlled early exit (when you can exit), rather than wait 1 times to go all the way. In my opinion, it is the most efficient, safest way to utilize base bonus entry system.

I design this system to answer 3 thing: don't miss out on market early run , enter big volume with safe better entry, exit when you can, not when you must, with the ultimate goal of consistently moving forward.
 
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