Those odds seem reasonable, but only due to the fact that the Republican field is tremendously fractured whereas the Democratic field is consolidated into Hillary (no offense intended Bill) and it is not even primary season yet. The Republicans need to put someone forward who can win,
which means getting swing voters. IMO, this rules out the mavericks, oddballs, and whackjobs like Trump, Carson, Cruz, Huckabee, and Fiorina. I'd rather have Pataki than any of the aforementioned. The two vanilla guys, Bush and Kasich I think have the best chance of defeating Clinton. However, Bush has to work on his body language to project greater confidence and certainty. He often shakes his head when he is making a point, which signals he is at odds with his own statement. And instead of nodding his head, he kind of does a quick little snap which suggests tension. Jimmy Carter in his debate against Reagan often raised his eyebrows in a tense way and voters found it viscerally off-putting. Kasich's best advantage at this point is he has no clear handicaps
and negative associations high in the public mind.
Yep I think the 2 Parties are usually right here but now I am not so sure. People tire of the Clintons and Bushes hogging it to themselves. They do have the money though.
Here in the UK the unthinkable happened and a whacko old style communist from Cold War days has been elected leader of the Opposition- yikes !! He has Trident, Nato, the Queen etc. on his hit list. Treading warily to start with but give the guy some rope and he will be off and away outdoing Breznev etc. ( remember him ? )
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