Little late with my picks this week as I was out of town. I didn't want any part of Steelers-Rams thursday night anyway, so nothing lost.
This is a tricky time of the year for bettors. Some teams are locked into the playoffs and resting key players or just not trying very hard. Like the Cowboys or choking dog pussy Seahawks. Other teams have folded for the year and their players just are hoping to avoid getting hurt. That would be the Atlanta Falcons. A few remaining teams are fighting for the playoffs and have a lot of incentive. I think you have to focus on them.
Tonight we get Dallas at Carolina as a 10 1/2 point favorite. Dallas has turned in two consecutive dud games, Romo may have a bad thumb, and Carolina, despite seemingly losing 12 games in a row, is 6-8. They beat the choking dog wussygirl Seahawks last week, even though they really do not have a functioning QB. No way I touch this game. Who knows if the Boys show up or not.
The entire nation will tune in Sunday night to see one of the biggest games of the year, the surging Washington Redskins facing the Vikes in the Metrodome. The Vikings are a 6 1/2 point favorite, which seems to give a lot of credit to a one dimensional team that was lucky to beat the Bears. If the Redskins win, they take a huge step toward the playoffs, and if they lose, see ya next year. The key to this game is simple. Can the injury-depleted Redskins defense bottle up the Viking run game? If they can shut down Adrian Peterson, they have an excellent chance to win. If not, they could face a long night. I like the Redskins to win this game, but my judgment can be suspect at times regarding them, so i'll pass on this one.
In other games, Cleveland visits Cincy and is a 2 1/2 point favorite. Cincy laid a huge egg last week at SF. Cleveland is the season's cinderella team. A win puts them in the playoffs. Actually, this is one of those spreads that looks so inviting, I am tempted to pass it because Vegas is not in the habit of giving away Christmas presents. What the heck, let's gamble. Taking the Browns here.
GB is an 8 1/2 point favorite at Chicago. GB and Dallas are tied for the best record in the NFC, so one would think they have a big incentive. Didn't seem to work that way with Dallas last week, or maybe the Cowboys just like the idea of playing the conference championship game on the frozen tundra. Last time they did that, it didn't work out so well. Who can forget Bart Starr taking it into the endzone behind Jerry Kramer on a sneak to win the 1967 championship and put coach Vince Lombardi in Canton? Known as the infamous Ice Bowl game, over 50,000 hardy Packer fans sat through the coldest game in league history. The temperature was -13 at kickoff and the windchill was -46. Don't expect Jessica Simpson to be in attendance if they repeat that one. Anyway, the Bears are not a bad team, but they cannot get a handle on the QB position. Maybe they should just punt on first down? At least that would hold down their turnovers. 8 1/2 is a lot to give on the road, but I think the Packers take care of business here. Take the Packers.
Indy hosts Houston and gives 7. Not sure if we see the full Indy roster this week, so I'm passing.
NE is a 22 point favorite at home against the Dolphins. I will try to work up some jokes about Tuna and Dolphins. Until then, staying away from this one.
The Giants go upstate to visit the Bills as 2 1/2 point favorites. Interesting game. The Bills are still alive for the playoffs, and the Giants have gone from locks to needing to win a game to clinch a spot. The small spread looks about right to me. The Giants are struggling, and the Bills have played surprisingly well. An upset here wouldn't shock me, but I can't see an edge so I'll pass.
Red hot Jacksonville is at home against Oakland as a 13 point favorite. Lot of points for a team that is not an offensive superpower. I'm going with the hot team however and taking the Jags.
TB visits SF as 5 1/2 point favorites. SF burned me last week, but I can't see them doing much against TB. Not sure how much incentive TB has, as they've clinched. Probably wiser to leave this one alone, but I'm going with the Bucs here.
The Monday night game features SD hosting Denver as 8 1/2 point favorites. This probably looked like a great matchup when they drew up the TV schedule, but as it turns out, SD has clinched their division and Denver will be watching the playoffs. As with TB, not sure how much enthusiasm the Bolts will bring to this one. They have some injury issues as well, so not even tempted to get involved here.