OK, back to business. No picks last week, and I was 3-2 the week before I believe. Thanks for nothing Steelers. They came up very small against Miami in the muck and deserved to lose.
This week's contests start off Thursday night with two teams, the Redskins and the Bears, watching their respective seasons circle the bottom of the toilet bowl. The Redskins have had a week to forget. Their best player was murdered, they lost a gutwrencher to the Bills at home, they took six hours of plane riding to go to and from Sean Taylor's funeral Monday, then they have to meet one of last year's Superbowl teams after two days of walkthrough practice. Today's in a snowstorm, no less. The Bears, like the Skins, lost a tough one last week to put them at 5-7, and both teams have to win out to have a chance at the playoffs. Give me the under on that happening.
Both teams field decent but not overpowering defenses and terrible offenses led by green QBs with a penchant for turnovers. This game should come with a parental warning. Somehow the Skins have been installed as 3 point favorites. They struggle to beat bad teams at home,and the Bears are not a bad team. But the Bears are no bargains either. Not when their main offensive weapon is a kick returner. Avoid this one. For once, be glad you don't get the NFL Network.
In other action, six games caught my attention. Jacksonville hosts Carolina as a 10 1/2 point favorite. Carolina has been terrible with anyone not named Jake at QB. Unfortunately they only have one Jake and he is hurt. Jacksonville is knocking on the door to be an elite team. Take'em here and give the points.
Dallas visits Detroit and gives 10 1/2. A lot of points to be giving on the road, but Dallas is not only the big D but it has a pretty big O as well. Detroit might as well be spelled etroit. I hate to give this many on the road, but i'm going Cowboys here.
Buffalo is a 7 point favorite hosting Miami. Buffalo has been a plucky team, and they still have realistic playoff hopes. Has Miami given up or will they leave it all on the field seeing this as their best chance to avoid getting skunked this season? Hard to say, but they played pretty hard against the Steelers two weeks ago. The Steelers mailed their effort in, but Buffalo won't. Tempting to take Buffalo here, but Miami will win a game one week and this could be it, so I will reluctantly avoid this one.
Tennessee hosts SD in a pick'em game. I saw earlier spreads with SD as a 2 1/2 point favorite. That's a big slide, and I am a little reluctant to go against it, but I am. I think SD is rounding into form. I like the Bolts in a pick 'em game.
Minnesota is a 9 point favorite at SF. I saw an earlier spread that had them at 7, which I liked. The Vikes have been hot, but they are far from an elite team, so I have to back away from a 9 point spread and reluctantly avoid this game.
NO visits Atlanta in the MNF matchup and are 4 1/2 point favorites. NO has been a major disappointment at 5-7, but Atlanta is one of the league's weakest teams. Taking the Saints here and happy it isn't a bigger spread.