The National Football League: 2009 edition

Quote from sicktraderIV:



Not sure if you saw the game, but I was there, and there were very few aspects of the game where the Vikes outplayed the Steelers. By the 4th quarter the Vikes were physically beat up on both sides of the ball. Vikes averaged 3.9 yards rushing for the game, compared to the Steelers 5.2. Vikes racked up the yardage with Farve, throwing the second most attempts in any game of his career. This was obviously the Vikes game plan, but I agree that they should have given the ball to Peterson every time on the goal line despite the lack of success in the run game.
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I was there too. Steeler side, nose bleed section near the River. I thought the game could have easily gone the other way. Couple of bad calls hurt both teams. I agree they should have run Peterson some more. I also thought the Vikes play calling was better, especailly late in the 2nd qtr. Helluva game.
 
Quote from sicktraderIV:



3-2 with one left, nice work, but 3-1 on your first ticket would have been even better.

Can't believe the Saints pulled that off.
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went 4-2 with the one ticket and 3-1 on the other, unfortunately i may as well have went 0-10 cause even though i was 7-3 on my picks, both of them i needed all games to win or nothing. Thats why it paid so well. Wish i would have listened to AAAinthebeltway on the giants game, though it was more Eli Manning shitting the bed than it was Arizona playing well. The only thing that brings comfort in Eli Manning costing me over 900 dollars is getting to watch him sitting on the sidelines pouting like a 2 year old cause he threw three picks. I wish i could find a pic i googled eli manning pouting and i cant find any, does anyone know what im talking about??? I bet when he loses he calls his mommy and cries.
 
NFL Point Spreads For Week 8 - Week Eight NFL Football Point Spread - NFL Spreads 11/1 - 11/2, 2009
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
11/1 1:00 ET At Baltimore -3.5 Denver
11/1 1:00 ET At Chicago -13.5 Cleveland
11/1 1:00 ET Houston -3.5 At Buffalo
11/1 4:15 ET At Green Bay -3 Minnesota
11/1 1:00 ET At Indianapolis -12.5 San Francisco
11/1 1:00 ET At NY Jets -3 Miami
11/1 1:00 ET At Detroit -4 St. Louis
11/1 1:00 ET At Dallas -9.5 Seattle
11/1 4:05 ET At San Diego -16.5 Oakland
11/1 4:05 ET At Tennessee -3 Jacksonville
11/1 4:15 ET At Arizona -9.5 Carolina
11/1 1:00 ET At Philadelphia -2 NY Giants



Monday Night Football Point Spread

11/2 8:35 ET At New Orleans -10 Atlanta

Byes: Cincinnati, Kansas City, New England, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, Washington
 
Due to some time issues, this week's review will have to be a bit shorter. Bottom line, I don't like any games. The only ones that interest me at all from a betting standpoint are SF at Indy(-12.5), Seattle at Dallas(-9.5) and Atlanta at NO(-10). I just see the spreads as too big on these games, although NO is tempting me.

There are some big games.

Minnesota at GB(-3). Are the Vikes the new America's Team? It seems like they are the marque matchup every week. Nothing is bigger this week than the Return of Brett to the frozen tundra. I like the Vikes to win. GB cannot protect Aaron Rodgers, and this could be the week he goes on IR. Jarred Allen is a beast. The Vikes handled GB pretty easily the first time around, even though their fourth quarter letdown made the final score closer than the game. Those fourth quarter letdowns and the usual issues with Brad Childress force me to stay away though.


Sf at Indy(-12.5). The Colts are a scoring machine, but the Niners are not half bad, and they put a more complete offense together last week coming back against the Texans behind Alex Smith. Too risky. Avoid.

Miami at NYJ(-3). Interesting matchup. Miami won the first meeting, as the Jets had trouble with the wildcat and the 'phins running game. Jets are all over the place this season. Too many moving parts for me. Avoid.

Seattle at Dallas(-9.5). I expect a Dallas blowout here, but Dallas has also been up and down this year. Ditto Seattle. Why risk it? Avoid.

NYG at Philly(-2). Total coin flip game with huge NFC East playoff implications. Both teams coming off unimpressive outings. I like the Giants but not enough to back them.

Atlanta at NO(-10). On the surface this one looks very interesting despite the fact that Atlanta is a playoff quality team with an offense that can put points up. You can ask Mike Singletary. Atlanta's problem is their defense, which is not a good problem to have when you are facing the awesome force that is the Saints' offense. Should be a wild shootout, but I am standing aside and counting myself lucky that the Saints pulled out the Miami game.
 
Texans -3.5 @Bills.......Texans

Dolphins @Jets -3............Jets

Vikings @Packers -3.5.........Vikings

Broncos @Ravens -3.......Ravens


Partly sunny and 50 degrees in Buffalo for Sunday's game. AJ might be hurt, but I have the Texans winning by a TD.

Jets look like a good team again after handling Miami at home.

Probably a close game. I have to stay with with Favre. If they lose, it won't be by much.

The Ravens look like a good team again after beating up on the Broncos. Denver had a nice little run.


13-8 for the year. A 3-1 week would be beautiful.
 
Quote from AAAintheBeltway:

Houston was a push, not a win.
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Yeah, I went a couple days thinking I had won, until I logged into my account yesterday. I thought I had basic math down in the 3rd grade. Must have been a combination of the alcohol and some sort of mental block :D
 
Week 8 in the books, except for MNF. Saturday night was Halloween and for several teams, the nightmare continued on Sunday afternoon. Before we look at those, shoutouts to the road winners this week, and there are not many. Houston, St. Louis(!), Miami, Minnesota and Carolina all got the job done.

For those who haven't watched thehighloight sof the Giants-Eagles, I can save you some time. Every time the Eagles got the ball they immediately scored on either a long run or long pass. Everytime the Giants had it, they immediately gave up a long TD return on an INT or fumble. After looking liuke one of the real elite teams the first three weeks, the Giants have fallen to Earth with a thud. Maybe Eli should consider taking some of his bonus money and buying a pardon for Plaxico Burress, because he has not been the same QB since they lost Plax. Got to give him and Cutler credit for signing their new contract extensions when they did. They've both sucked since they got the big money.

The game everyone wanted to see of course was GB-Vikings. The entire cheesehead nation was in a frenzy, having convinced themselves that this was the week that Brett got his. Uhh, not really. GB came out flat, got no pressure on Brett and generated no offense whatsoever in the first half. Brett carved them up on the way to a 2 TD lead at teh half. GB roared back the second half, but when it counted Brett got the job done, reminding the Lambeau faithful why they loved him before they hated him.

Baltimore has been a puzzling team this year, but they put it together in all three phases yesterday in their convincing beatdown of previously unbeaten Denver. Not much more to add, just a total buttkicking.

Dallas kind of fell off people's radar screens after teh Denver loss, but they are playing as well as anyone right now. They dominated Seattle in a 39-17 rout. I thought this was a good possibility and feel a little stupid for not going with this game.

I could put Cleveland's fruitless visit to Chicago in the same category. I didn't like the big spread, considering the Chicago offense has not exactly reminded anyone of the 2007 Pats. It wasn;t much better against the hapless Browns, but it didn't matter as they rolled 30-6.

I feel fortunate that I dodged the Colts this weekend. They got by SF 18-14, but failed to cover. 49er's rook WR Michael Crabtree is backing his big talk up.

Here's a helpful suggestion for NFL head coaches. If you lose at home 30-25 and give up two long kcikoff return TDs, don't make a fool of yourself by going into the press conference and saying you outplayed the other team. That was one of the mistakes Jets coach Rex Ryan made yesterday after losing for the second time to Miami. As Tony Dungy said in the postgame show, special teams are a part of the game too and the Jets certainly didn't outplay Miami there. Maybe they could get back some of those special teams players they shipped to Cleveland for Braylon Edwards.

Jacksonville is another of these up one week, down the next teams. Yesterday they were down as Tennessee got in the win column, 30-13, in a game that featured Pro Bwol performances by both RBs. Jones-Drew racked up 177 yards on the ground for Jax, but Chris Johnson had 228 for the Titans.

Carolina traveled to Arizona in a game that figured to be a blowout for the home team. Instead, the Panthers ground out a 34-21 win. Cards QB Kurt Warner had a Delhomme-type day, throwing 5 picks and losing a fumble. That will get you a loss against most teams.

In other games, underachieving SD got by Oakland 24-16, and previously winless St. Louis beat Detroit 17-10.

Tonight, a good onew, Atlanta at NO.
 
NFL Lines For Week 9 - NFL Football Line Week Nine
NFL Line 11/8 - 11/9, 2009
Date & Time Favorite Line Underdog Total
11/8 1:00 ET At Jacksonville -6.5 Kansas City 42
11/8 1:00 ET Baltimore -3 At Cincinnati 43.5
11/8 1:00 ET At Indianapolis -9 Houston 48
11/8 1:00 ET At Atlanta -10 Washington 41.5
11/8 1:00 ET Green Bay -10 At Tampa Bay 43.5
11/8 1:00 ET At Chicago -3 Arizona 44.5
11/8 1:00 ET At New England -11 Miami 47
11/8 4:05 ET At New Orleans -14 Carolina 52
11/8 4:05 ET At Seattle -10 Detroit 43
11/8 4:15 ET At San Francisco -4 Tennessee 41
11/8 4:15 ET At NY Giants -5 San Diego 47.5
11/8 8:20 ET At Philadelphia -3 Dallas 47.5



Monday Night Football Line

11/9 8:35 ET Pittsburgh -3 At Denver 39

Bye Weeks: Buffalo, Cleveland, Minnesota, NY. Jets, Oakland, St. Louis
 
Titans @Niners (-4)....Niners

Texans @Colts (-9.5)...Texans

Chiefs @Jags (-6.5)....Jags


I don't see much this week. I have my eye on these three, but I'm not ready to put any money down. So far I'm thinking the Niners, Jags and Colts win by a TD.
 
Week 9 shapes up as a bit of a breather after the high drama games of the past few weeks. Several games have playoff implications though, the biggest being Dallas visiting Philly as 3 point underdogs. Tough game to get your hands around. Philly ran all over the Giants last week, but Dallas has quietly begun to play extremely well. The Iggles are living off the big play, and that is a hard proposition to swallow as a bettor. Avoid this one.

Baltimore is a 3 point favorite visiting Cincy. Don't know about that line. Cincy is one of the league's biggest surprises at 5-2 and leading their division, but the Ravens handled previously unbeaten Denver easily last week. Statement game for one of these teams, but I couldn't say which one, so avoid.

Houston visits Indy(-9) in a potential shootout game. Can't go against Manning at home but the Texans are playing pretty well and have the weapons to hang with the Colts. Avoid.

Arizona travels to Chicago as a 3 point underdog in a matchup of inconsistent teams that will likely be decided by which QB turns it over more. I like the Cards here but what if they turn in another performance like last week? Avoid this one as well.

Miami goes up north to play NE(-10.5) after sliding by the Jets on two return TDs and an INT TD. Some wacky decision making by Jets coach Rex Ryan helped as well. None of that figures to be in play against the Belichick-led Pats, but these Dolphins are the kind of power team that can cause issues for the Pats. That spread is just too big for me. Avoid.

The Monday night game has Pittsburg(-3) visiting Denver. Which Denver team shows up? The one that went 6-0 or the one that got their butts kicked by the Ravens? The Steelers have already burned me a few times, so no way I trust them again. Avoid.

A few games got my attention as potential plays.

GB(-10) at TB. This one looks pretty straighforward. GB should dominate both sides of the ball. The question is how much of a letdown they will experience after the Minnesota loss, how badly they are beat up and how hot it will be in Tampa? Here's a stat for you. which QB leads the league in QB rating? Manning? Brees? Favre? Nope, Aaron Rodgers at 110. Other than close losses to Washington and Carolina, TB has gotten blown out every week en route to an 0-7 record. I have some doubts, but that's why they call it gambling. GB giving 10.

KC at Jacksonville(-6.5). This game looks good, but when you examine the teams' stats, they are almost identical, but KC has played far tougher opponents. Of course, they have only one win. Jacksonville is too inconsistent for my tastes. Avoid.

Carolina at NO(-13). Carolina brings the sixth ranked rushing attack and the number one ranked passing defense to face a NO offense that has obliterated every opponent. Carolina's season has been undermined by weak QB play and a tough schedule. They lost to Philly, Atlanta and Dallas, three playoff teams. The one stinker was a home loss to Buffalo. Probably regret passing this one up, but NO is coming off a big MNF game and I think Carolina could pose a challenging matchup for them. Avoid.

Tenn at SF(-4). These are somewhat similar teams, both run-oriented teams that look to win with defense and field position. Tennessee has run the ball better but has had trouble stopping opponents' pass game. SF has lost three straight, including close road losses to Indy and Houston. I like SF a lot here, but they are hardly bulletproof and they don' t have the kind of passing attack that has been Tennessee's downfall. Avoid.
 
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