Quote from AAAintheBeltway:
Week six.
Some interesting matchups this week, including the two best teams in the NFC so far, NY and NO, squaring off. The Ravens visit Minnesota in a good matchup, and SD hosts surprising Denver. To the picks.
KC at Washington(-6.5). The Skins have won two games against doormat teams by a combined margin of 5 points. So how do they now rate a 6.5 spread against a KC team that took the Cowboys to OT? The Skins O line is in total disarray, with pro Bowl LT Chris Samuels out, and guys starting who probably would not make most team's rosters. Jim Zorn's job is clearly on the line. Against that, KC is 0-5 and terrible. Wouldn't come near this game.
Cleveland at Pittsburg(-14). The Steelers haven't exactly bowled me over this year, but Cleveland is bad. Steelers should roll. Laying the 14 here. Steelers.
Baltimore at Minnesota(-3.5). Ravens on two game losing streak, but face a tough test. Ravens have a very good O line, which could negate the Vikes powerful D line, but Ravens need to get back to running the ball. I like the Vikes here, but this one is too tough to call. Avoid.
NY Giants at NO(-3). Two premier teams face off. The Giants defense will pose problems Brees and company have not faced thus far. Saints' offense has rolled over everyone however, and their D is vastly improved under coordinator Gregg Williams. Tough call. Avoid.
Detroit at GB(-13.5). With its makeshift O line, GB is not an elite team, and Detroit is no longer the team that lost 19 straight games. This spread strikes me as wide, but GB can be explosive. Avoid.
Philly(-14) at Oakland. I hate games like this. Philly is playing as well as anyone and has shown the ability to blow out weak teams, at least at home. Oakland is coming apart at the seams. Normally, I would be afraid of traveling to the west coast, but Oakland played in NY this past week, so they are facing travel as well. Have to be disciplined here. This is just too big a spread to take the Iggles on the road, as much as I want to. Avoid.
Buffalo at NY Jets(-10). Monday night factor at work here, as Jets lost a tough road game. Buffalo seems to be coming apart however. They lost two starting LBs to injury. Their lack of offensive production is a mystery, but one that is not likely to get solved against the Jets dynamic defense. Give the points here. Jets.
Tennessee at NE(-9.5). Hard to believe the Titans were one of the best teams in football last year. NE is not itself either. They should be able to exploit a weak Titans' secondary. Everyone else has. Sooner or later Tennessee puts a game together though. They are not a crap team, even though they have certainly looked like one at times. Avoid.
Chicago at Atlanta(-3). This could be a really good matchup. Atlanta coming off a big win in SF. Chicago has quietly put a good string of games together, and it is quickly becoming Jay Cutler's team. The Falcons figure to have too much offense for the Bears, but these Bears can put up some points as well. too tough. Avoid.
Denver at SD(-4). Broncos not getting a ton of respect from Vegas here. SD has been one of the more disappointing teams, but they can put points up. Can Denver produce on the road? Too many moving parts here for me. Avoid.
you've been picking the low fruit all season.
