The narratives, they'll be a changin'...

[Tsing Tao]

Feel free to participate if you want. I'm going to keep this thread as an example of all of the narratives that were moving in one direction under Trump, only to shift suddenly or gradually over time as Biden moves in.

Bonus points for correct predictions.

Liberals can play at this game as well - there are republican narratives that will flip and I encourage folks to bring them up (see comments on hypocrisy in other threads)

My current predictions, listed in other threads earlier (links can be provided upon request):

1. ANTIFA and BLM rioters and activists will be told to stand down or their violence not tolerated now that Biden was elected and "racism is solved".

2. We'll find a way to live with COVID without locking down and impacting the economy (either because we will "find" that it is less lethal or new research will benefit the "herd immunity" theory, etc). They won't want a damaged economy under a democrat.


To that point, I enter into evidence...suddenly it is time to activate the National Guard in Portland. I guess they had "enough".

https://twitter.com/x/status/1324219246138716160

 

[ph1l]

https://www.usatoday.com/story/opin...spanics-money-no-blue-wave-column/6160015002/

Democrats counted on money and Hispanic voters to deliver a blue wave. They didn't.
Money isn't predictive and, it turns out, neither are midterm elections. Also, Donald Trump doesn't turn off all Hispanic and Black voters.
Paul Brandus
Opinion columnist

There's a lot we don't know yet about this consequential 2020 election, but already there are lessons to be learned from it:

►Midterm elections aren’t necessarily predictive of presidential election years. President Donald Trump’s name wasn’t on the ballot in 2018, but Democrats succeeded in making it about him anyway. And what happened? A blue wave election that flipped the House of Representatives and put the speaker’s gavel in Rep. Nancy Pelosi's hands.

This gave never-Trumpers hope that the 2020 election — when Trump's name would be on the ballot — would produce a similar wave. But Ronald Reagan was shellacked in the 1982 midterms and won re-election just two years later in a landslide. Bill Clinton’s Democrats took a drubbing in the 1994 midterm, losing control of both the House and Senate, but Clinton was easily reelected — with 379 electoral votes — two years later. And most recently, Democrats were thrashed in the 2010 midterms, while President Barack Obama went on to win 332 electoral votes and reelection in 2012.

Susan Collins and Iowa’s Joni Ernst, as well as South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham's surprisingly comfortable victory margin, Republicans may even hang on to the Senate — a crushing blow for Democrats.

►Spending the most money isn’t always predictive. Hillary Clinton spent twice as much as Trump four years ago. How did that work out?

This time around was similar. Joe Biden raised enormous amounts of money: nearly three-quarters of a billion dollars in August and September combined, for example. It may get him to 270 electoral votes and the presidency, but that kind of cash raised hopes for a resounding outcome that's not in the cards.

The Trump campaign, meanwhile, burned through much of its cash early and by October was struggling financially. Yet he far outperformed expectations.

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And speaking of South Carolina's Senate race, that may be the starkest example of how money can be overrated. Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison raised more than $100 million, including $57 million during the final full quarter of the campaign, the most in a single quarter than any Senate candidate in history — by far. What did that get him? About 42% of the vote. Graham, who was reduced to begging for cash on Fox, last night had the last laugh about his easier-than-expected romp.

state Sen. Oscar Braynon, a Black Miami Democrat, told Politico last weekend. “I can speculate about the reasons, but the fact is it remains concerning.”

Biden campaign discouraged staffers from knocking on doors and talking face-to-face with voters; the Trump campaign plowed ahead.

Meantime, Trump appears to have done a good job of slicing and dicing among the state’s diverse Hispanic groups. Cuban-Americans, Puerto Rican-Americans, and such aren’t the same and have their own individual concerns. Many Cubans who fled communist persecution, for example, always want to hear about political freedom, economic opportunity and so forth. Many Hispanics also like Trump's pro-business reputation, his anti-regulatory stance,and the perception (which isn't true) that he's a religious guy.

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Some Hispanics also approve of the president's crackdown on undocumented immigrants. That was instrumental in his Florida win.

When all the dust settles, Biden will still easily win the Black and Hispanic vote — but not by the kinds of margins that he needed. This also helps explain why other states like Texas, with its whopping 38 electoral votes, stayed red.

All this suggests Democrats will be asking themselves a lot of questions, no matter who the winners are when all the results are in.

 

[Tsing Tao]

https://www.usatoday.com/story/opin...spanics-money-no-blue-wave-column/6160015002/

Yeah, but that's just a bad call/prediction. It is unlikely the democrats will change their narrative suddenly based on that

 

[VEGASDESERT]

The obvious is Covid-19 will all of sudden "starting to get under control"
"moving in the right direction" "light at the end of the tunnel"

Media will no longer be counting deaths.

Another will focus on how foreign leaders respect America so much now. lol.

 

[Scataphagos]

The obvious is Covid-19 will all of sudden "starting to get under control"
"moving in the right direction" "light at the end of the tunnel"

Media will no longer be counting deaths.

Another will focus on how foreign leaders respect America so much now. lol.

Maybe not.

America is experiencing "record" Covid... 100k in a day for new cases.

Accelerating Covid in Europe with lockdowns.

My wife works at a hospital... ALL elective cases have been suspended due to the high percentage of available facilities being occupied by Covid infected. UK has said, "95% of ICU beds currently occupied by Covid cases". (That ain't chopped liver!)

Though our government wants us to take a "cavalier approach" to Covid for "political/economic concerns", suggest a more conservative attitude for now. Let's see how we get through these winter months of colds/flu/Covid(?) season before we make plans.

 

[VEGASDESERT]

Maybe not.

America is experiencing "record" Covid... 100k in a day for new cases.

Lots of Covid in Europe with lockdowns.

My wife works at a hospital... ALL elective cases have been suspended due to the high percentage of available facilities being occupied by Covid infected. UK has said "95%" of ICU beds currently occupied by Covid cases. (That ain't chopped liver!)

Though our government wants us to take a "cavalier approach" to Covid for "political/economic concerns", suggest a more conservative attitude for now.

Right, but the media will no longer be portraying it as 'out of control' since they are
an extension of the dem party.

 

[Scataphagos]

Right, but the media will no longer be portraying it as 'out of control' since they are
an extension of the dem party.

True. And a major threat to the survival of "America".

 

[ph1l]

Yeah, but that's just a bad call/prediction. It is unlikely the democrats will change their narrative suddenly based on that

The blue wave that started in 2018 has been redshirted until further notice! So the Democrats might try something different next time.

 

[Overnight]

...
Bonus points for correct predictions...

Not a change, per se, but a continuation. Pot stocks to the moon when weed is legalized federally, and banks can process the monies.

Oh, and Biden dies from complications due to dementia before first term is up.

 

[Tsing Tao]

Not a change, per se, but a continuation. Pot stocks to the moon when weed is legalized federally, and banks can process the monies.

Oh, and Biden dies from complications due to dementia before first term is up.

You think he dies?