Quote from Pekelo:
Quote from PlinytheTrader:
You are not looking at the entire picture.
Actually, you are the one missing the whole picture. There are at least 4 groups of people with an IPO with different interests:
1. The company. Their goal is the highest IPO price possible. That is the money the company gets, one time only.
2. The under writers. They want a good price, what would improve in the not too far future, for the sake of the allocated share buyers and for new investors. But not a one day jump and then burn...
3. Early investors. They are usually happy with the IPO price, but what they want is price stability, so they can still cash out at a later date with lots of stocks.
4. New investors/traders.(who didn't get allocated shares) Those are the ones wanting a huge jump right after the IPO.
When most companies go public their goal is not to maximize the share price
As I described above, that's exactly what they want, because they only get paid once, at the IPO's price.
the IPO low enough so its attractive to the public and it can get a decent pop on the open.
FB popped from $38 to $44, it just didn't last.
Now there are IPO's where it is prudent to wait a few days and buy in then and still catch a nice rally, just like ZNGA...
I'm not sure you want to use ZNGA as a great example, their top level managers are getting let go left and right over their stock collapse. As I see it you have 3 options when pricing your IPO:
1) Price it too low where you leave a lot of money on the table but your stock takes off and becomes one of the great success stories for people who bought in early
2) Price it at a midpoint where you still capture decent money for your company while new investors are happy as the stock goes higher and your IPO is labled a success.
3) Price it high where your company gets maximum value for the IPO but your stock prices collapses angering every investor and becoming the butt end of many jokes and the topic of numerous ET threads on conspiracy theories by your company to screw over investors. Your stock becomes toxic an no one wants to admit ever buying it and the price continues to free fall as your company loses credibility. And of course you might lose your job as CEO b/c people only care about stock price and will question your abilities going forward.
So to me if I was running a company, the best option is still #2 but that's just my opinion on an online message board.