The human mind is an anti-edge

Following a mechanical strategy isn't as easy as it sounds, especially when it starts going into a slump, where it starts to trend downward over, say, a month or two, and especially when your account is down for the year and you don't want to experience any more drawdown. You'll start saying things to yourself like, "if only I had used some discretion and avoided taking this trade, I would have avoided a $1,000 loss today."
 
Quote from bighog:

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The person that answered and said humans are not geared for perfection is right. How many factory workers in the history of General Motors made it to the executive suite? How many soldiers that even got through West Point or and of the other services branches made it to the top?


You are right in that most people don't win at things because they don't THINK they can. Most are programmed for mediocrity, not success. I had to reprogram my mind in that department too, just to be able to make it even with a mechanical system. Otherwise, the setbacks along the road would have made me give up.


I ask a serious question regarding trading. Why should every new so called trader expect to code a computer and beat the game?


It isn't. Most people that program bots and strategies on various platforms don't have a clue about what it takes to create a real, sustainable edge. (I think vendors of these platforms should be taken to task for making it look easy in order to sell their wares, knowing the majority will just give their money away).


Where is it written that a programmer has a clue about trading?

Again, it isn't, and the majority don't. It's not just about programming; it's about being good with statistics, probabilities, having patience, and having a deep understanding of markets - the way they really move, not the way they are made out to be (i.e. totally news- and fundamentals-driven). Not to mention an appetite for risk and reward, ability to balance the two, and a burning passion to succeed.



A piece of shit computer is not going to get the 90% of losers to the promised land, thats a givin.


True, because it's about attitude.
 
Quote from andrewbee:

"... I have come to the conclusion that the human mind is the biggest anti-edge there is. It is literally programmed to fail at trading.

One of the most pithy comments ever made on ET!

Only logic and discipline can overcome this headwind.

Success in the markets is about...

Observation
Analysis
Deduction/Logic
Discipline.. to do and to NOT do

If you're weak in any area, expect to struggle or worse.

You want to succeed in the markets? Think and behave as Mr. Spock would!
 
Greetings all. I am a timetraveller from the year 2059 and I have travelled back in time to 2009 for the express purpose of helping struggling traders gain an edge.

Fire away...:cool:
 
wake up all

there is o such thing as the mind being an anti-edge.

the anti-edge is the market itself, in the form of slippage and commissions. he who control emotions and trades automated is as prone to failure as anyone else, provided both trade with the same frequency.

hence, in trying to avoid the so called anti-edge, think in minimizing the costs of trading rather than anything else.
 
Quote from asap:

wake up call... think in minimizing the costs of trading rather than anything else.

If your transaction costs are the difference between success and failure, you are "fishing in a dry hole"..
 
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