The Fed should not vary interest rates from normal levels, says author Nassim Taleb
- Thread starter The_Krakenite
- Start date
Isn't it a little late for that now or am I missing something?
What I am missing is WTF he was talking about. And he should really see a doctor about that weird cough.
The point he was making, as far as I can tell, is that everyone had their heyday for toooooooo long with Fed's 0% policy, so they have nothing to complaint about. Instead, they should grow some balls like real adults.
The problem with this current generation of traders/investors is just that: they're cry babies with no balls.
It's probably from the jabs he took. He's good on a lot of issues but went all in on COVID being a major black swan and drank a lot of the mainstream, alarmist Kool-Aid. He immediately said the vax was a good risk:reward tradeoff without considering (1) it being very rushed and experimental (2) people without co-morbidities not being at a high risk for death or serious consequences.
Base rates are going to 4%+ soon, so i think he was saying after that happens that they should never cut them back to below 2%.
I think we all know they will be desperate to do that the first chance they get.
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Ok fair enough, just don't think that really changes much short term. I mean damage is already done and has potential to obviously get extremely bad. But yeah if we recover and stabilize again MAYBE that's a good play.
I don't think people give the FED / US enough credit though. Look how long this country has been prosperous relative to every other country. The thing is no system is perfect and eventually every system will fail and have a reset, such is the cycle of life. So, sure we've made tons of mistakes no doubt. But who's to say how things would of ended up if they never did massive QE and kept rates to 0 and etc.
Certainly an interesting thing to think about it.
Indeed I think it is a little bit too late... The Fed had the tools to stop the inflation and they failed to use them in time.