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The EURO
- Thread starter Ivanovich
- Start date
Well,
I don't want to argue - but I feel it bit risky, man.
You know my opinion on the subject.
Window dressing has finished and time for business.
I think we are experiencing first large move of capital OUTWARDS the USD zone.
I would normally agree to a sharp correction after such a spike - however this is January... 3rd January. Too soon.
I had a long out there and I closed it too soon, and now - I feel it better to wait than doing something unwise.
You may be right to expect some stalling - but I don't think about any deep dip here.
I expect a shallow move downwards if any. Sorry.
I don't want to argue - but I feel it bit risky, man.
You know my opinion on the subject.
Window dressing has finished and time for business.
I think we are experiencing first large move of capital OUTWARDS the USD zone.
I would normally agree to a sharp correction after such a spike - however this is January... 3rd January. Too soon.
I had a long out there and I closed it too soon, and now - I feel it better to wait than doing something unwise.
You may be right to expect some stalling - but I don't think about any deep dip here.
I expect a shallow move downwards if any. Sorry.
A bit risky, because this rally could approach approximately 1.2200, with possible extension towards 1.2550.
However, sometimes, when everyone thinks it will be risky to sell, it is actually the perfect time to sell. Still, keep a tight stop, just in case it'll explode upwards.
Good luck!
EF
However, sometimes, when everyone thinks it will be risky to sell, it is actually the perfect time to sell. Still, keep a tight stop, just in case it'll explode upwards.
Good luck!
EF
It ain't over till it's over!!
All these foreign folks buying the Treasury bonds in November and December are on the wrong side of the market now.
We are 216 pips over 30 days average.
That's almost 2% and visible perspective of more to come. Therefore:
NO MORE LONG THE DOLLAR.
Technically speaking shorts on EUR are VERY risky.
This move upwards is so strong - that everyone wonders what's happening...
There should be a correction - but there is now way to tell when and where it starts.
All these foreign folks buying the Treasury bonds in November and December are on the wrong side of the market now.
We are 216 pips over 30 days average.
That's almost 2% and visible perspective of more to come. Therefore:
NO MORE LONG THE DOLLAR.
Technically speaking shorts on EUR are VERY risky.
This move upwards is so strong - that everyone wonders what's happening...
There should be a correction - but there is now way to tell when and where it starts.
Apparently, Ivanovich is in the minority.
By now, however, eurousd had reached 1.2070s. If my count is correct, we're at the third leg of a large correction. The first one (1.1639-1.2026) was 387 pips in length. The second leg ended at 1.1776, and the third one started there. If this one is to be equal with the first, it should end somewhere around 1.2163. There are two prior tops at 2201 & 2171, so this should put more emphasis on the 2163-2201 area.
If the third leg correction extends its length to 1.618x the first, it would end at 1.2402. This is also the 38.2% retracement of the entire fall from 1.3668-1.1639. Interesting coincidence, eh?
Cheers!
By now, however, eurousd had reached 1.2070s. If my count is correct, we're at the third leg of a large correction. The first one (1.1639-1.2026) was 387 pips in length. The second leg ended at 1.1776, and the third one started there. If this one is to be equal with the first, it should end somewhere around 1.2163. There are two prior tops at 2201 & 2171, so this should put more emphasis on the 2163-2201 area.
If the third leg correction extends its length to 1.618x the first, it would end at 1.2402. This is also the 38.2% retracement of the entire fall from 1.3668-1.1639. Interesting coincidence, eh?
Cheers!