For a while things were looking better for Democrats. They got a boost from Roe v. Wade being overturned and gas prices were starting to come down. Now abortion is less on people’s minds and gas prices have been rising again. I’ve seen data showing that abortion has fallen behind crime as the number 2 issue behind the economy. The economy and crime being the top two issues both favor Republicans. All polling is a snapshot in time and if nothing else can indicate momentum/trends.
The probability is based on polling data. As polls become more favorable to Republicans their odds of keeping the Senate increases.This asshole now says the republicans have a 54% chance of taking the Senate.
I guess the moron just goes around posting a bunch of clickbait to get attention, now he is running out of time and has to make it look like he is not a complete idiot.
Sorry pal, you cant run around for the entire summer saying the democrats have a 75% chance, then at the very end say, ohhh I think republicans will win.
If the democrats are so worried about disinformation, why is this Nate Silver allowed to go on ABC and lie to the American public.
The probability is based on polling data. As polls become more favorable to Republicans their odds of keeping the Senate increases.