Quote from wally_:
Harry,
it's so nice to see a happy man on this board. I mean, you smile a lot, so you must be happy.
I am hoping to get your point one of these fine days... however as a scientist I am not buying your use of Occam's razor principle.
Your hypothesis 2 is the simplest one, hypothesis 3 is not as simple as 2 and in fact is a clear violation of Occam's razor principle because you invent one more element (the hypothetical 'algorithm') to explain the cyclical martket behavior. This is not necessary, in fact, it makes it sound like a conspiracy theory and not a scientific explanation: traders conspiring to manipulate the market in such a way as to blame it on the Moon.
Why not just blame it on the Moon.
Women's menstruation cycle is about the same in length as the Moon phase cycle. Using your hypothesis 3, you would say that women conspire to have such cycles in order to blame it on the Moon, right? Now, is it not just simpler to say that apparently it is the Moon that has something to do with that instead of making one more assumption about the conspiration between the women and the Moon?
I mean, where do you get ideas like that from?
Hi wally,
Don't load up good ole Harry with any more problems like women's menstruation cycles. He is still busy working on his little Pi versus 1 / Pi "theorem" that he contributed to his mysticism thread.
This is a sticky one for Harry. (C'est une colle!) In the big pile of stuff he unloaded on ET threads over the years, the Pi-gem is the only one we we can readily verify.
nononsense