The Cryptocurrency Trading Journal

I like Cryptokitties because they pretty much meet all the criterias, except for one, number 7

The framework:

1) Is it a breakthrough project?

CK was the first NFT game on the blockchain. The first ERC721 smart contract (they invented it). The first NFT to go viral

2) Does the collection have credibility / legitimacy?
The company behind it (Dapper labs) created Top Shots, CK and they will launch CK2.0 sometime in the future. They raised funds at $7.5B valuation. They have a lot of credibility, although not as much as Larva Labs

3) Does ownership come with incentives or utility?
The incentives were the game (CK 1.0) and in the future, it will be CK2 (which will run on the Flow blockchain). Dapper said people will be able to port their cats to CK2, so the utility is there

4) What is the project’s collectibility quotient?

Its a very diverse project, with tons of different cats, tons of different types. Its so diverse, you probably need a manual to even understand it

5) How aesthetically pleasing is it?

The art looks great and the people behind it are so creative, they have all kinds of fun phrases and texts for the cats. The design is really good vs what is out there

6) How Memeable is it?

Cats are super memable, the internet loves cats, people always find an excuse to stop their day to deal with cat content online

7) What’s the total supply?

50K, which is too much right now. Right now, because NFT's so still niche, 10K or lower (and prefably lower) is what is hot. Its a much lower float, its easier to catch momentum and drive FOMO into people flush with ETH from gains in other projects. So thats what they have been doing.
But I think at somepoint people will realize the historical relevance of CK plus the other factors and they will want to own that. So I'm bullish on CKs (Generation 0's, Virgin 0's and the more rare ones) for the next year
 
I think having this criteria of only investing in breakthrough projects is one way to "idiot proof" an investing plan in NFTs. You will be forced to say no to 99.9% of projects but you also need a lot of knowledge so you can even understand what is breakthrough or not. And if the hit rate of those breakthrough bets is 10%, there is probably tons of profits to be made
Of course, that is easier said than done, I bought some cheap stuff that wasn't breakthrough because I thought they had a chance but I want to be much more strict from now on. Now I have that framework and it matches with my research in collectible markets so I feel that all I need to do is to keep learning and looking, be very patient and then make a bet
 
Here is an hypothesis that I think it is even likely: The best thing that can happen for a avatar style NFT is for it to be deemed a security by the SEC, at least if the art is resonably good

Some are because they fail the howey test, some even promise to share future royalties with owners

Why I think that is good? Because instantly it would become very famous, it would become a symbol of the struggles of the people who has no access to exponential gains (due SEC restrictions for retail investing in VCs, hedge funds, etc) and i think it would trigger the whole GME thing, where it becomes more than just a stock. "They dont like us peasants making money, they need us earning shitty incomes and behaving. Only bankers can get rich" will be the mindset
But in an avatar based NFT, it would be even better than GME, because it would not have to deliver on anything. The SEC itself would give it historical value

So, I'm on the lookout for the first NFT that the SEC goes after. If it has great art and it is an avatar (as opposed to crap looking stuff like Vee Friends), its probably a buy. The avatar is relavant because people will be able to use it as profile pics on Twitter, discord, etc, etc. It also needs a broad float (10K), a tiny float wouldn't give enough people access so it can go viral easily. I would love for the SEC to lay down the hammer on World of Women (since it is promising royalties), it would make it epic overnight and it would become a feminist symbol. Similar to how when governments attack Bitcoin, they just make it more famous/relavant/historical
We will see
 
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If the SEC did that, it would be like some dude showing up with a gun in a bee hive. Good luck buddy. This time around they wont be a DTC+HOOD rug pull, this isn't an ICO where you fuck the team the coin is over, this is just a social symbol. Ethereum is up and running 24/7 and people can buy and sell this things directly in the immutable smart contract, the blowback would be epic!
 
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Daal said:
Visa bought a crypto punk
https://twitter.com/x/status/1429745230023208969
More...
Incidently, I think World of Women might (and the emphasis on is might) become the punks for virtue signalers, woke people, women and feminists. The art is there, the wokiness is there, the community is there, the charity work is there, there are airdrops planned. The celebrities are already there (Logan Paul, Gary vee, Steve Aoki) but it has not had its Visa moment yet. Maybe a Kardashian will come in and this blows up, I own a couple and I feel short
 
Daal said:
https://www.theblockcrypto.com/linked/115166/binance-mandatory-kyc-regulatory-pressure

Binance showing their true colors. Meanwhile they are charging retail $20 and $10 for ETH and BTC withdraws, when network fees are like $2 and $0.3, effectively, taxing everybody. When are these incompentents going to force KYC in everyone that uses BSC?
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I've had concerns with Binance for a few months now over regulatory issues and other stuff. I've been looking to pull out of there. The problem is it is still the 800 pound gorilla in the room. Pretty much every crypto product is offered there. I haven't found an alternative that could match what Binance currently offers for managing a crypto portfolio.
 
NoahA said:
And although crypto will be around, with BTC being so archaic, and in direct competition with what the governments will offer, might fall to the way side, even if it does have another stellar rally. Basically, if the government losses control over the monetary system because it goes decentralized, and some universal coin is the leader, then the government pretty much looses the ability to control the population and provide services. When you have no stability or services, you have no functioning digital world. All you need is some jackass to drive his truck into a cellphone tower to knock out your link to the digital world.

So in essence, the continued move to everything digital relies on global stability, and that stability I see eroding going forward. Look at how much has changed in Afghanistan in just one week.

Thanks for reading!
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Another post by @NoahA without any idea of what others are talking about in this thread.

1)We have gone beyond BTC.
2)Really? 1 cellphone tower goes down and "you" lose your link? Is there only 1 cellphone tower on Earth?

Laughable.
 
upload_2021-8-23_11-34-34.png

In the end, all the old out of touch fucks will own crypto. Whether they like it or not
 
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