The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

i dont have a link, my brother read it and told me about it a week ago, he said that scientists are researching the possibility that the extinction of the dinosaurs was caused by a massive oil and methane leak and that the methane had gotten airborn and was ignited by lightning,the explosion was many times larger than an atom bomb,i'm not kidding
 
Quote from ammo:

i dont have a link, my brother read it and told me about it a week ago, he said that scientists are researching the possibility that the extinction of the dinosaurs was caused by a massive oil and methane leak and that the methane had gotten airborn and was ignited by lightning,the explosion was many times larger than an atom bomb,i'm not kidding
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Someone posted it here on the WS news forum. Its a fun read
 
Back when the UST SFP was shutdown the EFF was avg something like 10bps(with an OIS at around 15bps). If the Fed cuts rates on reserves to zero, I would expect a similar EFF, possibly lower, providing another boost to Fed Futures and Eurodollars
 
The GE options have gone through the roof over the past couple of weeks - a combination of LIBOR/OIS narrowing along w/the realization that the Fed will stay at zero for approximately forever.

Just as comparison, this time last year, the Dec 2011 GE 99 calls were trading around 0.12-0.15. Now, the Dec 2012 GE 99 calls are trading at around 0.34.

Aussie 90 day bill futures have held onto their gains, but seem firmly entrenched at a level that points to no more tightening and no easing over the coming year. I eagerly await the time when they begin to price in policy easings by the RBA. Right now, market participants still seem to believe that some party leaders in China can hit a few buttons, pass along a couple of edicts, and throw the Chinese economy (and w/it the Aussie and indeed the world economy) back into full gear. The myth of an omnipotent Chinese government is one of the few remaining bubbles left on the planet.
 
Bullard drops out of the discount hike camp
"Prior to the Jun FOMC, 2 regional Feds wanted a rise in the discount rate. These were Dallas and Kansas City whose presidents are Fisher, Hoenig and Bullard respectively. In Apr both these districts requested such a move, as did also St Louis, whose president is Bullard.

Those looking to raise the Discount rate wanted a rate of 1.0%, compared to the current 0.75%. This would restore a more typical spread with Fed Funds, and a request for a Discount rate hike is therefore not necessarily a call for broader tightening, though Hoenig at least is a vocal hawk. Fisher and Bullard are among the more hawkish District bank presidents. The change in St Louis' vote suggest that any hawkish inclinations from Bullard are fading. DS"
 
Sold my Dec 2010 ZQ position(now I only hold Dec 2011, its a biggish position although I didnt go all-in), the contract is only like 1-2bps from the current expiration of the front. It seems to me that the market is expecting some kind of cut in the IOR or maybe its just no hike expectations, hard to tell
 
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