First off, what you have described is NOT a "holy grail". What you have described is a edge that you have claimed to have found, that is quantifiable with a formula and that can then be exploited.
You yourself then go on to say that if a larger number of people came to know this formula that chances are it would stop working. That is the VERY definition of a edge, not a "holy grail".
What you claim to have found is what investment firms invest in highly skilled mathematicians, engineers and others to find and exploit with algorithmic trading. The difference with them is that they mathematically understand this is a "edge" that can be found and exploited for a period of time before it is lost as market players mature, change and adapt.
As you have pointed out yourself, you have not been live trading this for a long period of time, yet somehow you have fallen into the rookie mistake of forward projecting ASSUMED returns and chosen to ignore that you yourself have pointed out its a edge that can/will be lost in time as more market participants exploit the same thing.
If your smart enough to quantify the edge that you claim to have found with a formula, then you should also be smart enough to quantify the derogation of that edge over time into the future and adjust your "projected" spreadsheet returns to reflect this instead of assuming a 1 dimensional constant increasing compounding return.
Investment firms literally spend millions finding edges to exploit but they understand it is only ever an edge and will only ever be a edge and that sooner or later it will be lost.
"Holy grail' on the other hand is a fixed thing that will not be lost over time because of how many know about it. The only holy grail is co-location and utilizing different order types to exploit known gaps in the market process.
You then make claims such as
Which reads as if its a statement of fact, yet you have not supplied your "Holy grail" to anyone that would provide such an endorsement. Instead your making assumptions once again.
You then go on to say -
Absolute proof that what you are describing is a edge, not a "holy grail".
This leads to the conclusion based on this thread that considering that you have not provided any actual underlying data, formula, rules or system but you have provided a lot of spreadsheets showing ASSUMED future profits and mentioned a few tempting marketing "hooks" about how great your system is, how it "could" be taught to others in 300hrs (But it wont be because then the edge will disappear), that what the real goal here is, is to create interest in your system and at some future time it will be available for the less fortunate to invest their money into someway (either directly or through a signal service).
If I were a more cynical person who had been around trading for a number of years, I would hazard a guess that this would then be followed in 6-12 months with the "system" failing in some way and a number of signal followers getting their panties in a bunch when there is a "unforeseen" loss of their account on a martingale blow out that had been assured would not/could not happen because the spreadsheets show what will happen into the future. (After all, spreadsheets don't lie........ Do they)
Luckily I'm not that cynical person, instead I'm bright eyed, bushy tailed and wet behind the ears.
, brokers
,authors will write books
