I really have no idea. I think it is too soon to know. Clinton wasn't predicted in 89 to be the dem president. Obama certainly was not predicted to be the president by most in 2006.
These days, things can change very quickly.
You saw the ridiculousness of the locals here at ET talking up Scott Brown when he won the Mass. senate seat...as if he would be the next president.
I don't think it will be Romney, because he is not considered a Christian by so many of the Christian right wingers. I doubt Huckabee or Jindal. I can't see the party regulars putting up Palin. Paul...no chance.
I continue to think we will see a moderate party regular big business supporter who is a bit to the right side of the moderate silent majority of the party...and then a third party candidate that the teabaggers will put up.
I don't think the teabaggers are politically astute. They don't understand the type of compromises necessary to get elected or be effective as president...and if they don't get everything their way in the primary or the convention, they will protest and put up their own candidate which would be a great boon for Obama. Paul didn't get that much of the vote, but I could see a strong third party candidate from the baggers doing much the same as Ross Perot did...which was to help Bill Clinton get elected.
It will come down in all likelihood to the economy in 2012, and that is unpredictable, IMO.
I has seen too many ultra bears predicting full on gloom and doom...all our of a gleeful hope that they will somehow survive and get rich in the process. Not bloody likely. At least not yet, and probably not the way people think it will happen.
These days, things can change very quickly.
You saw the ridiculousness of the locals here at ET talking up Scott Brown when he won the Mass. senate seat...as if he would be the next president.
I don't think it will be Romney, because he is not considered a Christian by so many of the Christian right wingers. I doubt Huckabee or Jindal. I can't see the party regulars putting up Palin. Paul...no chance.
I continue to think we will see a moderate party regular big business supporter who is a bit to the right side of the moderate silent majority of the party...and then a third party candidate that the teabaggers will put up.
I don't think the teabaggers are politically astute. They don't understand the type of compromises necessary to get elected or be effective as president...and if they don't get everything their way in the primary or the convention, they will protest and put up their own candidate which would be a great boon for Obama. Paul didn't get that much of the vote, but I could see a strong third party candidate from the baggers doing much the same as Ross Perot did...which was to help Bill Clinton get elected.
It will come down in all likelihood to the economy in 2012, and that is unpredictable, IMO.
I has seen too many ultra bears predicting full on gloom and doom...all our of a gleeful hope that they will somehow survive and get rich in the process. Not bloody likely. At least not yet, and probably not the way people think it will happen.
