Too much merchandise makes the cheap, cheaper!!!!
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The Coming Bear Trap
- Thread starter calibertrader
- Start date
Too much merchandise makes the cheap, cheaper!!!!
Oh yeah, baby.
All these bullish calls from Wall Street. Abby Cohen is on fiyah!!!
(Going to cash - the China growth story is so old it's becoming annoying. Maybe the Chinese can sell their exports to Bangladesh when the American economy grinds down)
All these bullish calls from Wall Street. Abby Cohen is on fiyah!!!
(Going to cash - the China growth story is so old it's becoming annoying. Maybe the Chinese can sell their exports to Bangladesh when the American economy grinds down)
Just thought we need an update here?
Quote from ByLoSellHi:
Oh yeah, baby.
All these bullish calls from Wall Street. Abby Cohen is on fiyah!!!
(Going to cash - the China growth story is so old it's becoming annoying. Maybe the Chinese can sell their exports to Bangladesh when the American economy grinds down)
Quote from MKTrader:
Just thought we need an update here?
Bearish opinion stands. The market is finishing up this last leg up over the 50dma. Volume has dramatically decreased over the last 3 days as the market pierced through the 50dma. It looks like earnings will get the sellers going again in the next two weeks.
Quote from MKTrader:
Just thought we need an update here?
I have changed my opinion.
The U.S. markets will run higher at year end.
We have to all realize that this rally may feel good, but
1) It will be nominal, not real
2) It will underperform foreign markets
The dollar is crashing, and our government doesn't care.
Inflation is much higher than officially stated, and our government doesn't care.
The lower dollar is good for exports and precious metals.
Own highly inflationary assets to be a winner.
Predicting where real inflation will rear its ugly head will separate winners and losers who are playing the U.S. equity markets.
Maybe. I certainly wouldn't be surprised by a pullback, but do you think it will be severe one that will test March lows? Two other things to consider:
1) Volume was also very weak during the mild pullback last week. Sellers have shown even less conviction than buyers.
2) S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 have all moved into the gap formed on Feb. 27. If you're a bear, this is definitely something you didn't want to see.
Again, though, I wouldn't be surprised by more back-and-forth rangebound trading.
1) Volume was also very weak during the mild pullback last week. Sellers have shown even less conviction than buyers.
2) S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 have all moved into the gap formed on Feb. 27. If you're a bear, this is definitely something you didn't want to see.
Again, though, I wouldn't be surprised by more back-and-forth rangebound trading.
Quote from calibertrader:
Bearish opinion stands. The market is finishing up this last leg up over the 50dma. Volume has dramatically decreased over the last 3 days as the market pierced through the 50dma. It looks like earnings will get the sellers going again in the next two weeks.
Volume dry up could be seller exhaustion.
Quote from MKTrader:
Maybe. I certainly wouldn't be surprised by a pullback, but do you think it will be severe one that will test March lows? Two other things to consider:
1) Volume was also very weak during the mild pullback last week. There's been even less conviction among sellers.
2) S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 have all moved into the gap formed on Feb. 27. If you're a bear, this is definitely something you didn't want to see.
Again, though, I wouldn't be surprised by more back-and-forth rangebound trading.
1) Agreed, that's why I was willing to get long after the confirmation for a bit.
2) Filling the gap on lighter volume convinces me even more that this was nothing more then a bull trap. The bears are trying to trap as many people as possible.
3) My main indicator for being bearish is that most 52 week breakouts have reversed back into their bases. This is very unusual at the beginning of a new bull.
As for the severity of the correction, I couldn't even guess at that. Considering we were over 7% down on the first leg, I would guess that we will see 10% plus before it's all over.