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January 20, 2007
SouthAmerica: A reality check for the United States: "China, in an alarming exhibition of its military muscle, has fired a ground-based ballistic missile into space to destroy one of its own weather satellites, hitting a 4 sq ft box at 530 miles..."
It is ironic how things work.
Today China can start a major defense and space race with the United States, but with one major difference â who is going to finance the United States program?
Today it is China the country that keeps the United States financially afloat â but if China decides instead to use its financial resources to build its military and its space program and they can do that â Where the United States is going to get the money to keep up an arms and space race with China and also keep a very expensive war going in the Middle East?
Never mind all the other costly problems that the United States also has on its plate such as an old infrastructure, an ageing population with its related health care costs, all kinds of financial bail outs in the Us and so on....
The Europeans, the Russians, and South Americans can just sit and watch the United States self-destruct on the weight of its snow-balling outstanding debt.
China has been giving the United States a lesson about capitalism for some time, and China is taking away all the influence that the United States had around the world â one country at the time â and now China can move up a notch its lesson to the United States - by starting a major arms and space race with the United States since that would be a final step in placing the United States into the same position of a collapsing Soviet Union.
I guess it does not matter how you look at it â Anyone can see that today China has the United States by its balls.
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âChina sets off a new round of Star Warsâ
Published: January 20 2007
The Financial Times - UK
A means of modern warfare the world had complacently come to see as at least informally off the table is now very firmly back on it â or, rather, scattered as metallic debris across miles of outer space.
China, in an alarming exhibition of its military muscle, has fired a ground-based ballistic missile into space to destroy one of its own weather satellites, hitting a 4 sq ft box at 530 miles and bringing to a dramatic end a two decades-long moratorium on the testing of weapons in space. Good shooting, yes, but is it good politics?
This experiment has drawn widespread condemnation. The US clearly sees it as part of an effort by China to develop anti-satellite capability that could threaten its extensive space assets.
The Chinese test may or may not lead to a new arms race in space. But it will certainly strengthen the hand of hawks in Washington who regard Chinese power as a strategic threat to the US.
Yet there is a long history behind this incident â and the leadership in Beijing is not known for foolhardy or precipitate action.
The last extensive use of anti-satellite weapons was by the US and former Soviet Union in the 1980s. The cold war slowly raged, heated up in 1983 by President Ronald Reagan with his Strategic Defence Initiative â the infamous Star Wars speech in which he announced plans to develop the capability to destroy missiles from space.
Those tests nonetheless ceased in 1985, not least because they created an uncontrollable fall-out of debris that threatened the network of satellites ever more densely carpeting the sky.
Both Moscow and Beijing subsequently made efforts to take space out of the military equation. The US, with a military budget able to outspend almost the rest of the planet put together, was simply not interested.
To the extent that it bothered to explain its position, Washington argued that the demilitarisation of space would be impossible to verify: a self-serving argument similar to the Bush administrationâs reasoning for opposing the verification protocol of the Biological Weapons Convention.
In the past year, however, two developments may have rattled Beijing. First, the US nuclear co-operation agreement with nuclear-armed India is the clearest indication yet of Washingtonâs wish to build up a counterweight to China in Asia and the Pacific. But second, last summer the Bush administration came out with a new policy asserting that the US regarded space as important a dimension for the nationâs security as air or sea power. It may have been no coincidence that, within weeks, China ruffled American feathers by using a ground-based laser to illuminate a US satellite â and highlight its own reach into space.
The US is so dependent on satellites for surveillance, observation of the âbattlespaceâ, communications and defence against any incoming missiles (or son of Star Wars) that it has reason to feel alarmed. The National Security Council on Friday called Chinaâs test âinconsistent with the spirit of co-operation that both countries aspire to in the civil space areaâ.
Ideally, that remark would translate into a realisation that hyperpower exceptionalism â Americaâs sense of entitlement to rights it concedes to no ally, let alone competitor â comes at a cost. But the risk is that this episode will instead translate into a new surge of defence spending that will delight the arms industry but do nothing to enhance international security.
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