The Bounce Is Over - Romney Takes The Lead

Intrade is a direct correlation to the stock market, that's about it. If anyone here thinks the stock market is the only indicator of which an incumbent will be re-elected, then...well, I honestly have no words left for you.
 
Quote from Grandluxe:

Obama at 63.5% on intrade is just unreal...but many betting houses that are taking bets on the election are also weighing heavily in favor of Obama.

One of them that I saw gave decimal odds of Obama 1.5++, Romney 3.0++. That is to say, if you bet $100 on Romney to win, you get $300 back.
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Maybe I can lay off my straight up bets. No need to, but a guaranteed win.
 
Quote from Scataphagos:

Considering what an Odumbo re-election would mean... says a lot about how far down into the Socialist/Communist abyss, muck, greedy, laziness filth the American electorate has sunk.

Not saying I'd be looking forward to a Romney win... but an Odumbo win would be catastrophic, with no hope of recovery. (Damaging as he has been, he hasn't done his worst yet... saving that until he has "nothing left to lose". Like he was caught on an open mic speaking softly to Medvedev, "Tell Putin I'll have more flexibility after the election"..)

:mad:
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Catastrophic. No Hope of recovery. So very sad you feel that way. It's pretty much a lock that Obama will win, and I don't see any catastrophe or world ending stuff in the next 4 years, with either candidate. If you're not just politicizing, I really feel bad for you. If it's just American politics, then no big deal.

To fall for all the Socialist, Communist, Racist, Birther and Kenyan crap is above most Americans IMO.

The Sun will rise in the East, America will still be the strongest power on Earth, in 4 more and 20 more years, regardless of stupid political outcomes.
 
Quote from ChkitOut:

ht_health_care_unconstitutional_intrade_graph_ll_120626_wg.jpg
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^^^^^^^^Intrade non political election ^^^^^^^^^^






Intrade political elections



Bush /Kerry


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Obama /McCain





2008 House





2008 Senate






2010 House(From July until election day they had Republicans taking the House over 50)




Wisconsin recall( Had Walker over 50 the life of the contract)


 
Quote from Lucrum:

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Intrade looks rather worthless for prediction in this instance.
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In non politcal elections they can be.I made a bet that The Supreme Court would uphold Obamacare even though Intrade had it 75 % that they wouldn't


I wouldn't bet against Intrade in a political election though
 
Quote from mrbill:

Catastrophic. No Hope of recovery. So very sad you feel that way. It's pretty much a lock that Obama will win, and I don't see any catastrophe or world ending stuff in the next 4 years, with either candidate. If you're not just politicizing, I really feel bad for you. If it's just American politics, then no big deal.

To fall for all the Socialist, Communist, Racist, Birther and Kenyan crap is above most Americans IMO.

The Sun will rise in the East, America will still be the strongest power on Earth, in 4 more and 20 more years, regardless of stupid political outcomes.
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So far off from reality, my friend.
 
I'm watching Romney speak right now on TV to a group of his True Believers. To all the Rightsters for whom appearances are everything, I can tell you Romney does not have presidential presence. He doesn't even know how to act naturally. After all these years, he's still stiff as a board on stage with the occasional awkward gestures. And that's just appearances. His content isn't doing him any favors either.
 
Quote from Brass:

I'm watching Romney speak right now on TV to a group of his True Believers. To all the Rightsters for whom appearances are everything, I can tell you Romney does not have presidential presence.
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I was watching the same thing on MSNBC a few minutes.Romney looked pathetic imo
 
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