Birinyi Says Investors Should Lose âBunker Mentalityâ (Update1)
By Betty Liu and Eric Martin
Dec. 8 (Bloomberg) -- The Standard & Poorâs 500 Index reached a bear market bottom more than two weeks ago and investors should begin buying the largest U.S. stocks, according to Laszlo Birinyi, who predicted the rout in financial shares.
âIâm very comfortable saying the market has made the bottom,â Birinyi, president of Birinyi Associates Inc. in Westport, Connecticut, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. âItâs time to get out of the bunker mentality. A bull market is forming. Itâs just not going to be any outsized gains over the next three to six months. With all the concerns and issues around the world, Iâd be hesitant about being very, very aggressive.â
âThe wind is at the back of the large caps,â Birinyi said, adding that financial stocks may rise over the longer term because they âhave been strong here and weâve been too quick to dismiss them all as tainted.â
Birinyi worked more than 10 years on the trading desk at Salomon Brothers Inc. before starting his research and money management firm in 1989. He is known for pioneering money-flow analysis, which compares the dollar amounts moving into or out of a stock or index to establish whether it is being more aggressively bought or sold.
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Birinyi in an October 2007 interview said any recovery in financial stocks would be snuffed out as bad loans and lower revenue from underwriting reduce earnings.
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