The Big Hack: How China Used a Tiny Chip to Infiltrate U.S. Companies

[Cuddles]

Looks like the story was bogus:

https://www.macobserver.com/analysis/bloomberg-spy-chip-report-wrong/

https://www.fudzilla.com/news/47702-bloomberg-researching-if-its-super-micro-story-was-wrong

 

[mervyn]

View attachment 333996

why the surge, too meme

buy put at 1k?

 

[Cuddles]

why the surge, too meme

buy put at 1k?

7B->25B in sales over next 2 yrs

 

[mervyn]

7B->25B in sales over next 2 yrs

where is dell/emc?

 

[Pricechange]

omg...The puts on this thing are going to be fcking GLORIOUS.

 

[mervyn]

omg...The puts on this thing are going to be fcking GLORIOUS.

the thing is that with meme behaviour, the costs of put are astronomical. the underlying is hard to borrow too. selling naked calls are the cheapest way to short but you have to be a whale to execute on that.

 

[mervyn]

donw 13%

 

[Quanto]

I just analysed the monthly ATM IVs of SMCI :

               CALL_ATM_IV    PUT_ATM_IV
  1m (Mar)        153            101
  2m (Apr)        111            100
  3m (May)        109             94
  4m (Jun)        104             87
  5m (Jul)
  6m (Aug)        101             81
 11m (Jan'25)      93             75
 23m (Jan'26)      88             68

 

[mervyn]

I just analysed the monthly ATM IVs of SMCI :

               CALL_ATM_IV    PUT_ATM_IV
  1m (Mar)        153            101
  2m (Apr)        111            100
  3m (May)        109             94
  4m (Jun)        104             87
  5m (Jul)
  6m (Aug)        101             81
11m (Jan'25)      93             75
23m (Jan'26)      88             68

doesn't matter, it is not a mean-reversion trade

 

[Quanto]

doesn't matter, it is not a mean-reversion trade

My strategy too is not on mean-reverting... but the ATM IVs very well matter for my strat...