The best traders in ET

Quote from bwolinsky:

Justrading, pandora is above, and I loved reading the book "Communion" because this was the part he never figured out in the book but laid it out here as my logic for how to accomplish "getting to heaven and living forever."

Lives and Bodies, keep track of them, and as much as I am spirtual that part of my belief system is about the only logic I can handle facing the aging of my body and fear of death we all share. These thoughts calm me, which may be the extent of the benefit I may have about believing that and it having something to do with Christ, His judges, or His own Final Judgement.

The person watching the nightflyers around here had a crop circle in his back yard last year by the way and you can go to my twitter to see the picture of it.

Pretty neat? Like the crop circle? And that right after I appointed myself President and CEO of 3rd party corporate interests in the Motherfuckin Space Olympics page I have on facebook.

:D
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Trust me when I say my grass does not get mowed like this or has ever looked this way so given what I was going through at the time (ie: PFG and trust issues), it doesn't surprise me I had this view to cheer up some of the problems around July last year.
 

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http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=33654&perpage=6&pagenumber=5

acrary said:

Ok, now you have a timeframe for being consistently profitable. Now what does it take to achieve it? One more decision has to be made before continuing. What level of confidence do I need for consistent profitability. Some will be happy with 90%, others 95%, and some like me require 99%. So, to put it together in my case I require consistent profitability on a monthly basis with a 99% level of confidence. So in other words it's ok for me to have a losing month once every 8+ years.

One series of studies I did was to find out what were the important factors in consistency. I did tests on size of expectation, % wins, profit factor, number of trades within a timeframe, and the effect of dispersion of trades (std. deviation) has on the results. For instance, here's a run for a daytrader that does 10 trades a day with 70% wins and makes $500 on each win and loses $500 on each loss. As you can see this is quite profitable at the 50% level (the average over time). However you can also see that after the 80% level the trader actually loses money. So for a daytrader with these numbers they only have a 80% chance of achieving their goal of consistent profitability on a daily basis. If that level of confidence is ok, then they have a example to use going forward.

Model name daytrade
# of trades in series 10
% of trades that are winners 70
Mean of winning trades 500
Std. Dev. of winning trades 0
Mean of losing trades 500
Std. Dev. of losing trades 0


Outcome Profit Factor Max DD
1% level 5,000.00 10.00 0
5% level 4,000.00 9.00 -500
10% level 4,000.00 9.00 -500
20% level 3,000.00 4.00 -500
30% level 3,000.00 4.00 -500
40% level 2,000.00 2.33 -500
50% level 2,000.00 2.33 -1,000
60% level 2,000.00 2.33 -1,000
70% level 1,000.00 1.50 -1,000
80% level 1,000.00 1.50 -1,000
90% level 0.00 1.00 -1,500
95% level -1,000.00 0.67 -2,000
99% level -2,000.00 0.43 -2,500
Expected outcome 1,950.00
Expectancy 200

I want to ask how did he calculate the %? like the 99%?
 
Quote from bwolinsky:

Denial of a higher power like a humanoid as big as the earth or you walk into a humongous shower with a 9 foot 8 inch woman from.... I have no idea...

I've spoken only to parades of men supposedly carrying the resurrected Christ after telling the options forum that they overtrade did happen that night to first see Him in that way. It would be the same night the options forum found out I might say something if there ever were such a thing as "final judgement" I'd bet that given the promptness of that dream then I feel sorry for what's coming to those who will not trust in their own salvation and not in the way of Christianity but more as a oneness that accepts that somewhere there may be somebody deciding whether it is worth it at all to come back and take you "to heaven" which is another planet very similar to earth or earth in the future.

Other signs while you're asleep are for much more intellectually bright people who have to work in 3 places at once at night mostly are superfluous about describing these dreams as "lucid nightdreaming." This happens about every night, and once you understand that that is the concious reality the age of your body at that particular time in the future will have you then realize that that dream will be experienced at some point because somehow you are there and as long as I'm on this subject just because I believe temporal backtravel happens does not mean I only call it a pandora's box because being self-aware is a requirement before you slumber each night with $200 million on NQ... then maybe you have some place else to be at that moment when you are dreaming and see yourself in the future at that exact moment at the age you are in the future you know you are going to see it and that's down a rabbit hole of junk I just take certain ideas such as time travel to mean that if you stop yourself in time you are actually going backward because time will move forward and to you you will feel that you are time traveling if you understand what brought you there was some technology that made that possible.

Due to personal belief and my knowledge of quantum mechanics, there is no reason a whole live human being cannot go back in time, and probably something to do with Pandora if you really were to think about why that is so I'm talking like you know for sure if there's god and I only get teary eyed if I have to discuss the non-believer with any religion other than Judeo-Christian Protestant and or Catholic.

I'm sorry your unsympathetic to those other beings who might have had something to do with your existence so I'll go along with this thread as if I'm not sounding crazy because the legitimacy of whether time travel exists or not has to do with your awareness of it since everyone wants to live forever I just described how.

In revelation, there is a woman about to be fed to the dragon who escapes but has to wait 2 and a half lifetimes before she may return to earth. That woman is Jezebel and by this logic a time traveler who others will come to know at least insofar as they explain to their faith that somehow space travel and going back in time is the best path to immortality than trying to preserve the body forever which of course is absurd so whether I'm making sense or not you'd better have an explanation at some point for the moral compass will always revel in unabominated greed without compassion for the ethics of what their work is.

I'd go on Kantian like philosophical prose if it meant you can't rule out a righteous judge at some point deciding whether to return to save you or not and if you aren't aware of this opportunity then that is the main difference I have about my own faith in Christ particularly that this is the only scientific explanation if we do want a chance to try to have as many lifetimes as we want and this is called eternity.
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Good to see you back, chemically balanced, time travelling as usual. I was concerned Wasendorf had definitely drawn you away from trading and ET( All jokes apart, I hope you get returned the max possible...).
 
Quote from justrading:

What are you smoking?

Can I have some?
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No need...just print out that quote on a page and fire it up. It's like peyote * crack to the LSD power.
 
I have not been impressed by any.

There are hundreds of "educators" in the forum who as usual, do not backup their illusions of grandeur with concrete evidence that says, "listen, you can trust me, I know what I'm doing".

As far as people making live calls, the transparency is never there, and if it is, it's not impressive, therefore, sorry to say I can't name one as of yet that would be worthy of such recognition.
 
Quote from Trader.Fighter:

I have not been impressed by any.

There are hundreds of "educators" in the forum who as usual, do not backup their illusions of grandeur with concrete evidence that says, "listen, you can trust me, I know what I'm doing".

As far as people making live calls, the transparency is never there, and if it is, it's not impressive, therefore, sorry to say I can't name one as of yet that would be worthy of such recognition.
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I can't be anymore blunt about this:

Every one of the trades I've made for my business is on a 3rd party website that only logs live trading results.

If I'm not on the list currently bronze at a futures championship site, and top 10 most recent 365 day performer in stocks on another, what the hell else do I need to say?

Ooh, wait, it's in the quote, let me give it a shot.

Listen, you can trust me, I know what I'm doing! I even attempt to explain what models I use to do this, so why do I need to keep pointing to myself as the only one that qualifies by everyone's criteria? Is it because I don't believe in broadcasting trades on a public website who have no mutually beneficial interest in using my calls in any way whatsoever? I say if you can't trust the results posted on those sites then you just need to manage it yourself and see how you do. Otherwise, I'm just going to have to religiously rant about how nobody who thinks posting anything with respect to the trades you're doing is anything but an attempt to help your own positions, so as far as that goes, I know I'm one of the best traders on this website, and I don't need anybody to speak up for me or think that their history on elitetrader shows anything but an attempt to try to get others to follow your positions so that they have more chance of being profitable to the poster.
 
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