Quote from inandlong:
The basic issue is this thread is supposed to be about the best book in TA. Perhaps you should start a thread about the uselessness of indicators.
Technical analysis existed long before the use of indicators. Indicators are a subset of TA. Now I understand why you are so frustrated and why you think TA is crap. Most everyone here already knows that indicators are tools, not answers. And all of us know - except seemingly you - that there is more to TA than indicators.
Regardless, despite my innumeracy, inability to detect nuance, and chimp-like teachability, I make a six-figure income - all six figures being to the left of the decimal
- trading my own account using the following TA components: moving averages, price-volume patterns, trendlines, s/r, and indicators - specifically stochastics, rsi, and macd. All except the indicators provide specific entry and exit points. The indicators provide divergence and directional information, but not specific entry and exit points.
Know this however, regardless of the method(s) you use to enter and exit the market, you will have losses. The wins are going to be there. It's learning how to control the losses that will make the difference.
Very nice post to ku2-2.
As member of the six digit to low 7 digit group you see ku2 as a person who is an "outsider" that has two characteristics than prevent him from moving across the Gaussian distribution to where you are:
1. His failure to rationally assess the opportunity in TA that he had a while back.
2. His unfortunate trading situation where he cannot, independantly, meld together the ingredients of a plan.
The theme of his posts as was pointed out, is collecting erroneous examples from other outsiders who perform mediocre analysis as does he. This set of bystanders have missed the clear messages of successful traders from whom they activily continue to estange themselves.
What is proven in trading.
1. Winners are a disctinct minority.
2. Primarily, TA is and has been advanced by winning traders. They invent and refine, and redefine defaults as a consequence of technological advance in data supply systems (You may note that ku2 is not currently using any modified default coefficients).
3. Only winners can backtest sufficiently to further understand their successes. It has never been possible for the vast majority of people to even get a foothold on backtesting. Academia and ku2 cannot backtest that is for sure. (see the track record of the highest salaried performance of academics and their PhD industry cohorts). Knowledge and understanding of markets is required to backtest. Not quantifying and qualitying the human factor in trading is the pre-eminant cause of backtesters not ever getting off the ground. (Ku2 has never included more than one independant variable in his back testing)
4. Trading is a micro science and not a macro science. There is nothing general about trading. All parts of the trading spectrum have both goods and bads; differentiating and compromise is the name of the game.
5. Relatavistic (not absolute) compound differentiable indicators prevail with successful traders while most beginners (unprofitable) use those that are convenient mathematical (arithimetic primarily) recitations of past financial activity.