IMO one of the most profitable strategies at the moment is still short term trading, not allowing yourself to keep on BELIEVING that your own opinion on the market sentiment is correct. All on these BB are relatively "small fish" and there is no way for you to be certain which direction the market is heading in 2,3,6,12 months time. Evaluating your capital and risking around 3% at a time should provide consistent profits, if you are convinced that you are right long term (bull or bear) CAN put your capital at risk, unless proper capital management strategies are present in your trading (ie trailing stops, locking in % profits, hedging, etc.).