Quote from abattia:
Please can you elaborate on this?
Thanks
Thanks to you, abattia
Let's consider 1 scalp: BUY - SELL
This can be performed either as Buy -> Sell or as Sell -> Buy, depending on price action.
An automated scalping system is programmed to perform thousands of such scalps during the week by opening
multiple scalping positions. (It's fashionable now to refer to massive automated scalping as HFT.)
Now assume at a given time you enter a scalp by BUYing.
You can have:
1. Price going up until target is reached (profit)
2. Price going down (causing drawdown)
Point 1 poses no problems.
All the "Saint Grail" is "just" about finding ways to to cope with point 2 (here is where "hedging" come into play).
There are various possibilities:
0. Most obvious to newbies (and suggested by brokers): place stops.
This is, in most cases, a 100% guaranteed losing strategy, with no possibility whatsoever to survive for long time. Mostly due to: spread, commissions, limited capital of trader, spikes, market manipulation, etc.
1. Methods which (have no stops and) use options, aiming to create "corridors" for scalping.
2. Methods which (have no stops and) use the traded instrument itself for hedging, by employing efficient methods to arrange the scalps so that they also provides protection to the scalps already open (also waiting for possible reversal).
3. Other methods (... suggest!)
Point 1 poses some difficulty as to implementation due to the the presence of options, not easy to consider within simulative schemes. Pro: intuitively appealing. Cons: difficult to put in practice, option time decay highly discouraging, difficult to evaluate.
For point 2 the strategist is bounded by his own fantasy, and only intensive simulation and forward testing can guide in the search for the most effective methods. Pro: all is managed automatically within the same strategy and implementation, easy evaluation, smaller drawdown wrt to stops usage. Cons: requires reliable infrastructures, restriction to highly liquid instruments and not too volatile (eg: zb, es, ym, zn, ...)
In any case, to have chances of success with these approaches (and, probably, any trading approach), in my opinion, good capital is always necessary (1-2 M).
Tom
(PS. About all the hype on "speed" of the HFT my personal idea is that it's just marketing talk.
A bad strategy will remain such even if you could execute orders in nanoseconds. Similarly a robust strategy will remain such even if orders are delayed by 1 minute. Obvious illusory advantages are rapidly wiped out by market and regulations.)
