The ACD Method

ETFoption said:
thnx

u dont know its failed to after the fact right ?

So I can summize that IF you have a failed A qrtr you can take a monthly A down as supprt ?
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There is a hierarchy in the time preferences. The more recent time cycles have preference. For example, given a certain quarterly level, a monthly level will over ride the quarterly for the first half of the monthly cycle (2 weeks). A weekly level will over ride the monthly cycle for the first half of the weekly cycle (through wednesday). A daily level will over ride the weekly level for the first half of the trading day. This allows one to give more weight to more recent information. Also, it's what maintains the integrity of the ACD ecosystem. If it were the other way around, you would be forced to ignore valid active signals. You would also be forced to pick or choose which signals to follow. By allows voiding out the higher time signals for the more recent ones you force your mind to live in the present and deal with information at hand as it's happening now and not as it happened a month ago.
 
ETFoption said:
"certain" is a specific word, so I assume you have done a couple decades work on this to determine certain ? wow
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Certain? Not sure which post that is from. I began this research in 2007 and have put more then 18k hours of work into it over that time period. The amount of data I have over this period is beyond staggering.
 
I re read your post, what I think you are simply saying is that the shorter frames will override longer frames, certain I was thinking "set up" its not a "system" where you only buy :if" then" etc

ty
 
Stumbled upon this when I was looking around. It's for all you day traders out there. I find it interesting he uses volume as a tell, given that there are discussions elsewhere on ET where some say it is an essential element and others say it is useless. Like ACD I suppose, if you know how to use it it's good, if you don't, it's useless.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-panicked-japanese-day-trader-made-34-million

And if any think it is pie in the sky, the original piece mentioned that he provided Bloomberg with some brokerage statements and his tax return for 2013 to support his claims.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...-moving-japan-made-more-than-1-million-trades
 
justrading said:
Stumbled upon this when I was looking around. It's for all you day traders out there. I find it interesting he uses volume as a tell, given that there are discussions elsewhere on ET where some say it is an essential element and others say it is useless. Like ACD I suppose, if you know how to use it it's good, if you don't, it's useless.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-panicked-japanese-day-trader-made-34-million

And if any think it is pie in the sky, the original piece mentioned that he provided Bloomberg with some brokerage statements and his tax return for 2013 to support his claims.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...-moving-japan-made-more-than-1-million-trades
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Almost all HFT firms use volume exclusively for their data mining. To use volume though you better have the data analysis skills to be able to extract signals from big data. There are tons of books on this now out there so it's not exactly a secret anymore.
 
Just overall looking at NG its below for a while then well over 3.. back down then back up fairly short time frame just wondering ACD help with this volatility

why do you look more to the curve then absolute price ?
 
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