The ACD Method

NG - someone here called out it had a confirmed 5NL a while back ... I had a score of +10 on the 5NL unconfirmed on other time frames when NG was at 3.6~ and it never looked back after that. Anyone catch it ?
 
Hello fellow HomeGamers,

Sunday night number line and monthly, quarterly, yearly stats of a few broad market ETF and related Mutual Funds: (Note: If I don’t mention a symbol it’s neutral.)

DIA: Short term NL's confirmed positive on the 11/27/14 and 30 day on Friday.

KRE: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 10/31/14.

XLP: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 10/21/14 and 30 day on 11/5/14.

XLE: Changed to short term neutral on Friday. (Short term NL’s confirmed negative on 9/9/14 and 30 day on 10/8/14.)

XLB: Short term NL’s confirmed negative on 9/4/14 and 30 day on 9/9/14.

IYR: Changed to short term neutral on Thursday. Still 30 day positive.

XLK: Short term neutral with 30 day confirmed on the 10/28/14.

IYZ: Changed to short term neutral on Thursday.

XLU: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 11/20/14 and 30 day on Thursday.

JJC: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 11/13/14 and 30 day the next day.

USO: Short term neutral on Thursday.

UNG: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 10/29/14 and 30 day the next day.

GLD: Short term negative on 8/14/14 and 30 day on 8/21/14.

SLX: Short term negative on 8/15/14 and 30 day on 8/25/14.

OIH: Changed to short term neutral on Friday.
 

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Anyone watching the VIX? Volatility/VIX products are looking interesting despite the fact that they've already made a huge move. XIV confirmed for me last week, made a monthly A up today with the monthly reset also confirmed now.
 
Cotton is flat for me number line wise and failed at the QTR A up several times. I'm watching it but the grains are faaaar more interesting right now.
 
Maverick74 said:
Cotton is flat for me number line wise and failed at the QTR A up several times. I'm watching it but the grains are faaaar more interesting right now.
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Yeah I had +12 on 30d NL and it was at weekly and daily A down so I thought that could be a good fade. But it made A down and on the way to weekly A down...
Grains are definitely strong even with all those talks about supply. But I just feel that commodities in general are getting a bit stronger. Another one interesting could be sugar - made weekly A up, 5d NL +7 and failed to continue with a trend which for me shows possibility of trend reversal. Silver is also kinda look nice for after all that drop.
 
partha said:
NG - someone here called out it had a confirmed 5NL a while back ... I had a score of +10 on the 5NL unconfirmed on other time frames when NG was at 3.6~ and it never looked back after that. Anyone catch it ?
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Yeah, I called that one out.

No, I didn't trade it. I was cautious due to it having made a solid monthly A down (and was below the QTR level for a bit) so I figured I'd wait until Nov before I considered trading it. As it happens it never gave me a chance because it took off like a rocket.

I should note I am more of a macro trader so I may have missed a good entry or two on the smaller timeframes. Unfortunately I don't have the time or the temperament to manage trades around intraday or weekly levels.
 
Hmm one of many things I learned here :) ISEE spiked up a bit and AAAI sentiment survey is much more bullish than historical average. It looks like everyone is very bullish and we are at new highs after a wild recovery.
 
Hello fellow HomeGamers,

A few end of week number lines with monthly, quarterly and yearly stats of a few broad market ETF and related Mutual Funds: (Note: If I don’t mention a symbol it’s neutral.) I’m keeping far more ETF’s than posted and if there’s an interest I’ll add a few going forward.

DIA: Short term NL's confirmed positive on the 10/27/14 and 30 day on 11/7/14.

IJK: 30 day confirmed on 11/4/14.

KBE: Short term NL’s confirmed on 11/12/14. However, its high that day was 33.95 and my Monthly A Up is 33.81. For now I think it’s shot its wad and expect a short term neutral this week.

KRE: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 10/31/14 but went neutral on Friday. Interestingly, its high on the 12th was 41.12 and that’s my exact Monthly A Up. If one had short termed this on its pullback on the 4th it wasn’t too bad.

XLP: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 10/21/14 and 30 day on 11/5/14.

XLE: 30 negative confirmed on 10/8/14.

XLB: Short term neutral on Tuesday (was negative). 30 day negative on 9/9/14.

IYR: Short term neutral and 30 day positive since 10/28/14.

XLK: Short term positive on Wednesday and 30 day confirmed on 10/28/14.

XLU: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 10/20/14 and 30 day on 11/6/14.

JJC: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 10/13/14 and 30 day the next day.

UNG: Short term NL’s confirmed positive on 10/29/14 and 30 day the next day.

GLD: Short term negative on 8/14/14 and 30 day on 8/21/14.

SLX: Short term negative on 8/15/14 and 30 day on 8/25/14.

OIH: 30 day negative since 8/12/14.

IEF: Short term negative on the 12th.

XIV: Short term positive on the 12th.
 

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Mav, some questions if I may.

1) Which futures spreads would you recommend for beginners? Some are apparently easy to lose your shirt on. I have dabbled with CL calendar spreads, slow moving at that time.
2) Are you familiar with any of these books? Some are old.

http://www.amazon.com/dp/9768108266...UTF8&colid=38AZD5895DUJT&coliid=IK86PBIHQYRRC

http://www.amazon.com/dp/0471716006...TF8&colid=38AZD5895DUJT&coliid=I18BTWXBXHSEFR

http://www.amazon.com/dp/0934380481...UTF8&colid=38AZD5895DUJT&coliid=IM14EK7UFBE6P

If you're ever in the mood to write a long piece on ACD and Futures spreads, it would be most welcome.
 
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