The ACD Method
- Thread starter sbrowne126
- Start date
Maverick - quick question on trade entries. For example in a long trade, assuming the numberlines align (i.e. 30 day is in uptrend, monthly is confirming an A-up signal and 5 -day indicates momentum in your favor) many times entering on a monthly A-up will require a wide stop and therefore a much smaller position all else being equal. In this instance, would you add small on the monthly A-up and then look to add on a failed weekly (or daily) A-down (assuming the numberlines still align) which may allow for better stop placement (also, at that point, would you move all your stops to the new level - including the initial monthly A-up entry). I just throw this out, but would love to get a sense for how you maximize size and minimize risk when you enter trades generally with trend (not mean reversion). Thanks very much.
For starters, I keep tight stops on those trades. I bail if the product closes back below the monthly A up or back above the monthly A down. So my stop is not that bad. But regarding to adding to positions, I would get take the momentum entry and then look to add only on the failed weekly or failed monthly A downs. You could also add on intra-day failed A downs as well.
I NEVER move stops up. Why? My rule was, I would get out when confirmed A down took place. Usually it would be a monthly A down as these were longer term trades. But if you are a 3 to 5 day swing trader then my stop would be on a "confirmed" weekly A down. Not simply taking out the weekly A down. Again, the importance of time.
On the off chance anyone here wants to learn more about what's going on out there in the world, we are seeing a massive squeeze in LPG with severe shortages in inventory.
http://www.hardassetsinvestor.com/f...tories-plummet-to-dangerously-low-levels.html
http://www.hardassetsinvestor.com/f...tories-plummet-to-dangerously-low-levels.html
Some more Fisher:
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000239993&play=1
Fisher talks about the first two weeks of the year indicator....
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000239993&play=1
Fisher talks about the first two weeks of the year indicator....
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000239995
Mark talking about the first day of the year indicator. Skip towards the end of the video.
Mark talking about the first day of the year indicator. Skip towards the end of the video.
Thanks. This no longer surprises me. CL held the first 2 week pivot high today. Came off only 4 ticks before bouncing off. Although I didnt take the trade, I made a mental note when price broke back below the monthly pivot low and the retrace was rejected, that we most likely would see 95.25.
Just happy to have found Fisher and then this thread. Now, I wish I could trade it consistently
Just wondering...looking at the NG spread chart
1/ Was the spread such an "obvious" buy around par in November?
To be more precise let's say at 0.05 on the TL break
Bear in mind, the outright was looking a confiorm & bullish around this time also.
Obviously barring a rare event the spread could go negative..
What happened in preceding years, how often does it go negative, say < -5 cents ?
1/ Was the spread such an "obvious" buy around par in November?
To be more precise let's say at 0.05 on the TL break
Bear in mind, the outright was looking a confiorm & bullish around this time also.
Obviously barring a rare event the spread could go negative..
What happened in preceding years, how often does it go negative, say < -5 cents ?
Question about Oanda
1/ Will they honor your stops to the tick no matter what?
Looking at the USD/TRY chart of 1/27, it reversed 800 pips from a high of 2.39 in a matter of hours:
2/ I get that they match/offset a certain number of trades with other users...but how do these FX shops manage to hedge their exposure so quickly like in the case of a devaluation (in an exotic pair, at that) where the thing "dislocates" without any trades in-between levels?
1/ Will they honor your stops to the tick no matter what?
Looking at the USD/TRY chart of 1/27, it reversed 800 pips from a high of 2.39 in a matter of hours:
2/ I get that they match/offset a certain number of trades with other users...but how do these FX shops manage to hedge their exposure so quickly like in the case of a devaluation (in an exotic pair, at that) where the thing "dislocates" without any trades in-between levels?