The ACD Method

I have been following this thread since December of last year. Needless to say, i have never received educational information as provided in this thread from any other source (books, other traders etc).

I am a trader in India and i have been trading for just less than 2 years. From January, I have been using ACD to trade equity futures here and it has made a lot of difference in my trading. It really helps in organizing information provided by price movements.

I hope to contribute more to this thread.

Quote from Maverick74:

I really can't go into details as I have too much intellectual property invested in it. I will say that anyone has has traded long enough will understand the exogenous variables (inputs) needed to go into the number line to increase it's accuracy. The output (effect) results are earlier signals are generated. I should note that not only did I change the "scoring" of the daily values but
I added a 2nd derivative to the number line itself.

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Hi Maverick. Your posts have really helped me understand how yACD should be used. But this is something new. By second derivative do you mean scoring based on some factor other than price movement relative to A levels? I totally understand your point about setting ACD up based on how you see the market. But this point probably gives me something new to think about. Any view on this will be helpful. Thanks.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

I really can't go into details as I have too much intellectual property invested in it. I will say that anyone has has traded long enough will understand the exogenous variables (inputs) needed to go into the number line to increase it's accuracy. The output (effect) results are earlier signals are generated. I should note that not only did I change the "scoring" of the daily values but
I added a 2nd derivative to the number line itself.

As I've mentioned many times, with enough screen time you will understand the limitations of what's given and how to optimize those limitations. Some points I can add here are the importance of collecting data. Every one of you guys should be storing data in every imaginable form. Even if you are not going to use it now, perhaps in the future you will want to reference it. It makes data analysis 100 times easier when you have the raw data saved and you only have to go back to manipulate it vs going back in time and going through the laborious process of getting it day by day and product by product.

I put that part in bold to truly emphasize the importance of this. For those of you concerned about labor costs (your investment in time), you need to make a point to maximize your efficiency in your research. This means become more efficient at collecting data, storing it, accessing it, and try to create functions that reference previous functions to make calculations easier. In simple parlance, don't use a hammer to cut down a tree.

I know to many of you reading my posts you will be discouraged by the amount of work I have laid out before you here. Trust me when I say this, there is NOBODY that is going to make consistent long term profits in the market WITHOUT doing this kind of work. And anyone who tells you different is probably trying to sell you something.
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Interesting, you have made try to come up with answers to fill in your understandable ambiguity.

Came up with something that might not be what you meant, but something that could 'logically' really aid the ability to value the opportunity presented by number lines - thank you.

Certainly there must be something in the inter-relation of number lines from different sources, suggesting correlation or divergence, which might support a 'logical' opportunity
 
Quote from KIRtrader:

I have been following this thread since December of last year. Needless to say, i have never received educational information as provided in this thread from any other source (books, other traders etc).

I am a trader in India and i have been trading for just less than 2 years. From January, I have been using ACD to trade equity futures here and it has made a lot of difference in my trading. It really helps in organizing information provided by price movements.

I hope to contribute more to this thread.



Hi Maverick. Your posts have really helped me understand how yACD should be used. But this is something new. By second derivative do you mean scoring based on some factor other than price movement relative to A levels? I totally understand your point about setting ACD up based on how you see the market. But this point probably gives me something new to think about. Any view on this will be helpful. Thanks.
More...

Welcome aboard from India. Nice to see ACD has an "international" following. By 2nd derivative I mean there is a secondary parameter that modifies the core 30 day reading.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

I'm surprised no one has commented yet on Fisher's "Logical Institute". I have to admit, that threw me for a curve.
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Couldn't see the video. The link showed an ETF video instead.

What threw you for a curve?
 
Quote from SteveNYC:

Couldn't see the video. The link showed an ETF video instead.

What threw you for a curve?
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link

http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?play=1&video=3000199043


time to go to school with mark fisher. involved with the logical institute, upcoming on-line literacy program. tell us about it. the genesis was that if you go around today and you talk to students, kids and say to them, you know, what's the interest rate on your credit card? they'll say is there an interest rate or 10%. they have no idea. budgeting. credit decisions, insurance. cash flow. no idea. if you ask the same kids, what won seven grammys in the last show, they all know. they have the wrong knowledge. what the logical institute is about is to go ahead and basically in an on-line fashion at the person's leisure, go ahead and instill the knowledge that every person -- the basic knowledge on credit, finance, investing versus trading, insurance, you know, you ask someone today in their 20s, you know, what -- do you have umbrella insurance? they don't know what you're talking about. homeowners insurance, renting versus buying, all these the decision we take for granted maybe because we're a little old, this needs to be taught. if you're someone that's going to go ahead and you're a parent buying life insurance to pass all these assets to the next generation, do you really want the next generation to just go ahead and turn to your accountant or financial adviser and go here and punt. when is the launch? some place in the next three to six months. we've been working feverishly on it. a cool, up-to-date twitter-esque type, experience that we're excited about it. you'll keep us informed and when you do that we'll let you know how you can get information on the logical institute that mark fisher is involved with.
 
Quote from kinggyppo:

link

http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?play=1&video=3000199043


time to go to school with mark fisher. involved with the logical institute, upcoming on-line literacy program. tell us about it. the genesis was that if you go around today and you talk to students, kids and say to them, you know, what's the interest rate on your credit card? they'll say is there an interest rate or 10%. they have no idea. budgeting. credit decisions, insurance. cash flow. no idea. if you ask the same kids, what won seven grammys in the last show, they all know. they have the wrong knowledge. what the logical institute is about is to go ahead and basically in an on-line fashion at the person's leisure, go ahead and instill the knowledge that every person -- the basic knowledge on credit, finance, investing versus trading, insurance, you know, you ask someone today in their 20s, you know, what -- do you have umbrella insurance? they don't know what you're talking about. homeowners insurance, renting versus buying, all these the decision we take for granted maybe because we're a little old, this needs to be taught. if you're someone that's going to go ahead and you're a parent buying life insurance to pass all these assets to the next generation, do you really want the next generation to just go ahead and turn to your accountant or financial adviser and go here and punt. when is the launch? some place in the next three to six months. we've been working feverishly on it. a cool, up-to-date twitter-esque type, experience that we're excited about it. you'll keep us informed and when you do that we'll let you know how you can get information on the logical institute that mark fisher is involved with.
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Yeah this didn't make much sense to me, Fisher getting involved in financial literacy. Doesn't Suzie Orman already have this market cornered? LOL.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

Yeah this didn't make much sense to me, Fisher getting involved in financial literacy. Doesn't Suzie Orman already have this market cornered? LOL.
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hopefully it will be a little more high end, I think understanding excel really well will help you no matter what field you are in.
 
X officially tagged the QTR A up today. High was 20.87 and the QTR A up was 20.99. So we hit that right on schedule. The 30 day number line still VERY strong at 21. Keep in mind this is a volatile stock. It pays to enter on Failed intra-day A downs and weekly A downs. The weekly A down is 19.69.
 
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