The ACD Method

Quote from hoop121:

hey guys, forgive Mav for the delay in any responses to recent questions. I know he's been very busy with a bunch of stuff lately and has not had a lot of time to get on ET.

Regarding GOOG, it's the end of the month so I'm going to throw the monthly chart out. So far, we have a confirmation on the weekly from yesterday and a failure on the QTR A down.

I don't keep number lines on GOOG, but just looking at the chart I can tell it's probably not a positive number so I wouldn't be looking to try my hand on taking any A ups anytime soon.

The QTR A up is 845.28 and it looks like it's moving that way. But I would wait until May 1 before putting on any swing trades.

As far as a day trade, I'd be looking to fade both the A ups and downs right now and as always with tight stops.

But again, I don't keep number lines on the equities and my primary focus is commodity futures right now so take that for what it's worth.


GOOG hit 845 today
 
Quote from Maverick74:

20130502_stretched.jpg


Yikes!

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-05-02/s-t-r-e-t-c-h-e-d

Since no one else is commenting on this. Let me make a comment. If you look on this chart in the 90's, during the greatest bull run in history, the net margin ranged between zero and 50 billion. It's now over 3 times that! Amazing. OK, as you were.
 
Quote from Shanb:

GOOG actually looks like it could setup long on the daily. If you take a look at the weekly chart we had MAF action up here near ATH. Taking a look at tech we've seen some rotation coming into play with INTC and MSFT catching a bid. The price action all in all is actually not that bad I could see it going +3 off that quarter a down failure. Just my look at things...so FWIW.

Closing above the quarter today, targets into the 870 area off this move. Tech has def takin the lead into this move. Outstanding strength in semis, solars, and the larger cap tech names.
 
I guess I better re-light the pilot light on this thread. It burns out from time to time. LOL.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-...0-years-nikkei-tops-15000-first-time-jan-2008

ZH has an interesting piece on the JGBs. Ultimately this is what is going to stop our rally "when" that happens. Japan is currently up 42% YTD and is threatening to take out our record 95% year we had in 1999 on the NASDAQ. A spike in rates in Japan will probably do more damage then China bombing the F out of them.

Sentiment here continues to stay way too bearish which is leading risk assets higher. The ISEE index refuses to spike. It's hit the 200 level 3 or 4 times now which on a relative basis is "mildly" impressive. But we need to see a 250 to 300 reading. AAII came out last week and showed a moderate jump in bears vs bulls but also that is still too low. Basically too many people are hedged or short or simply not long yet. As shocking as that is. The ISEE index has been "the" most accurate indicator I have ever found to mark "major" market tops and bottoms.

Btw, the correction has already started in Argentina with a 14% drop in the last week. It was the leading market around the world. Ultimately all these BRICs are going to get decimated.
 
Great commentary, Mav. Always got an insightful, unique take on world and market events (and even entertainment. Second career as a movie reviewer might be in order after retirement).
 
Quote from Samsara:

Great commentary, Mav. Always got an insightful, unique take on world and market events (and even entertainment. Second career as a movie reviewer might be in order after retirement).

You know Bruce Kovner of Caxton Associates use to and maybe still does write critical reviews of live theater in NY. He's been a theater critic for decades. So maybe there is a parallel....:)
 
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