The ACD Method

In fact, I'll even add that I'll fade any popular pattern people like to follow if the number lines give me a tail wind. I find those are some of the best trades.
 
Hey, I'm a recently profitable trader who after 2 years has started to find a real niche for myself in volatility breakouts based on Narrow range days. In the last 6 months I have started to really become profitable and find alot of confindence in my chosen methodology.

I have recently started to try to look into expanding my trading "strategies" and I have found that the ACD method has a similar statistically signifigant and simple approach that my previous method has. I'm really excited about jumping into this methodology and giving it a try. My other method has about 2-3 day holds and I would like to add an intra-day strat. First, is the range you set as the opening range extremely important to the profitability of this methodology? From first glance it seems like it is a fairly robust methodology and wether you pick a 10 minute OR or a 30 minute OR is really not that important. What do you guys think? Do I need to throw a lot of time into figuring out what I should use as an opening range? Is it more trial and error? I'm planning on starting using it with the Silver market? Is this a good market to use this method in? Also, just from my own observations over the last few years I have found that Mondays high and low seem to be statistically signifigant just like the OR in the ACD method? Has anyone else found this to be true?

Obviously I know alot of these questions are ones I will have to answer myself but I was just curious what experienced ACD guys thought. Thanks and GL trading.
 
I feel like my calculations for the number lines are way off. this is what I have for google..

2/1/2013 2
2/4/2013 -2
2/5/2013 0
2/6/2013 2
2/7/2013 0
2/8/2013 0
2/11/2013 0
2/12/2013 0
2/13/2013 0
2/14/2013 2
2/15/2013 0
2/19/2013 2
2/20/2013 -2
2/21/2013 -2
2/22/2013 0
2/25/2013 -2
2/26/2013 0
2/27/2013 2
2/28/2013 0
3/1/2013 2
3/4/2013 2
3/5/2013 2
3/6/2013 0
3/7/2013 0
3/8/2013 0
3/11/2013 0
3/12/2013 0
3/13/2013 0
3/14/2013 -2
3/15/2013 0
3/18/2013 0


30 day number line +4
 
This is my 30 day data on AAPL, still feel like its not right..

Friday 0
Monday -2
Tuesday 2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 3
Friday 0
Monday 2
Tuesday -2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Friday -2
Monday 0
Tuesday -2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Friday -2
Monday 2
Tuesday 0
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Monday -2
Tuesday 2
Wednesday -2
Thursday 2
Friday 0
Monday 3
Tuesday -2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Friday 0
Monday 2
 
Quote from chicagodon:

This is my 30 day data on AAPL, still feel like its not right..

Friday 0
Monday -2
Tuesday 2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 3
Friday 0
Monday 2
Tuesday -2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Friday -2
Monday 0
Tuesday -2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Friday -2
Monday 2
Tuesday 0
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Monday -2
Tuesday 2
Wednesday -2
Thursday 2
Friday 0
Monday 3
Tuesday -2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Friday 0
Monday 2
More...


Hi Chicagodon, I had same issue and never could get help here, basically someone in the know nees to release a spreadsheet where the numbers plug in so eveyone on same page, numberline is the numberling, there should be no grey area I dont thing
 
Quote from chicagodon:

This is my 30 day data on AAPL, still feel like its not right..

Friday 0
Monday -2
Tuesday 2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 3
Friday 0
Monday 2
Tuesday -2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Friday -2
Monday 0
Tuesday -2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Friday -2
Monday 2
Tuesday 0
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Monday -2
Tuesday 2
Wednesday -2
Thursday 2
Friday 0
Monday 3
Tuesday -2
Wednesday 0
Thursday 0
Friday 0
Monday 2
More...

Also, would it be ok to say we made a weekly A Up today?

Opening Range Top: 449.70
Opening Range Bottom: 441.20
A Value: 3.55
A Up: 453.25
 
Quote from optionbull:

Hi Chicagodon, I had same issue and never could get help here, basically someone in the know nees to release a spreadsheet where the numbers plug in so eveyone on same page, numberline is the numberling, there should be no grey area I dont thing
More...

Thanks. I think everyone's will be somewhat different, depending on your OR and A Values, I just want to know how far off I am lol.
 
Quote from optionbull:

Hi Chicagodon, I had same issue and never could get help here, basically someone in the know nees to release a spreadsheet where the numbers plug in so eveyone on same page, numberline is the numberling, there should be no grey area I dont thing
More...

OK, a couple of things. I have spent 4 years and I don't even want to guess how many hours posting to this thread basically putting out in detail almost every facet of this methodology. There is no one in 4 years who has "not" gotten help on this thread. And two, nobodies number lines are going to be the same. Mine are drastically different then Fishers. Number lines are qualitative, not quantitative. I spend a great deal of time putting my number lines together and they reflect how "I" see the market. Not anyone else. They are my eyes and ears. That's 15 years of trading experience that goes into that qualitative approach. So no, your lines will probably not line up with mine. I've said this probably over 100 times on this message board, what is most important is that YOU know how you are deriving your levels and number lines and that YOU develop a feel for YOUR data. If you gave me your number lines and told me to trade off of them, it would be difficult because one, I don't know how you are deriving your data and I would not be in rhythm with your data. Qualitative data is full of "grey" area. Hence it's name.
 
Quote from chicagodon:

Thanks. I think everyone's will be somewhat different, depending on your OR and A Values, I just want to know how far off I am lol.
More...

For my 30 day values, AAPL is +5 and GOOG is +6. The 5 day gives a clearer picture of the recent momentum with AAPL +4 and GOOG -4.
 
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