The ACD Method

Quote from Maverick74:

Monster day today. No other way to describe it. The biggest moves were in the currencies. I haven't seen moves this big since the 2008 credit crisis in FX land. EUR/JPY came off 700 pips intra-day! USD/JPY 400 pips! We had a plus 4 today in Bonds. EUR/AUD and EUR/GBP both had -4 days as well.

USD/JPY traded all the way down to the monthly level almost to pip before bouncing 170 pips.

In the various sectors we had -3's everywhere.

And what did we have before this move. Number line deterioration's across the board. As well as long volatility signals in almost every product group. This move was absolutely telegraphed.

Fun stuff!


Maverick74, What constitutes a long volatility signal? I take it we aren't talking about a vix based indicator.

Thanks, John
 
Quote from OneFive:

Maverick74, What constitutes a long volatility signal? I take it we aren't talking about a vix based indicator.

Thanks, John

OneFive, thanks for reposting that.

I don't use any VIX indicators. The vol signal is ACD based. I don't want to go into details here about it. One can probably figure it out through deductive logic.
 
Mav,

I don't remember from prior posts, but regarding the volatility measurement are you looking for it to reach a certain number, looking at the trend, the rate of change, etc ? I've been tracking it for a while and considering how to implement it.

Thanks,

m6
 
Quote from medicsix:

Mav,

I don't remember from prior posts, but regarding the volatility measurement are you looking for it to reach a certain number, looking at the trend, the rate of change, etc ? I've been tracking it for a while and considering how to implement it.

Thanks,

m6

Medic, good to see you back!

I use it as a switch. It's either on or off. When it's on I'm not fading anything and looking for follow through on breakouts. When it's off I fade and use fade entries into long term trends.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

Here is the monthly on ES. Bounced off both A levels. Pretty clean moves.


hi do you have these levels plotted in an automated fashion, when dont in a spreadsheet its a bit cumbersome.... thnx
 
Quote from optionbull:

hi do you have these levels plotted in an automated fashion, when dont in a spreadsheet its a bit cumbersome.... thnx

Yes, all my ACD levels are plotted automatically. The number lines are qualitative though. So I have to input those manually.
 
Mav any important ACD levels in AAPL coming up? I keep wanting to catch this falling knife and the only thing saving my ass is the number line.
 
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