The ACD Method

Quote from cdcaveman:

untill i can read more.. A ups means .. its going up through 94..

A levels are volatility levels. If any given product confirms by trading a certain amount of time above that A level, then it has confirmed. It means you only want to take long setups. It does NOT necessarily mean to get long at that exact moment.
 
Quote from koolaid:

Hey Mav, do you still find pivots useful in this overall strategy? Also, if you don't mind sharing some insights, where would one even start calculating the 30-day number line since it's a rolling period? Thanks in advance.

Yes. Pivots are VERY useful. But again, they can't be used in isolation. It's all part of the big picture. I created pivot number lines to add to their usefulness.

Regarding the 30 day number lines or any number lines. The start of a new calendar year is about as good of a time as any.
 
USD/JPY textbook failure at the monthly A up. Ideal entry to jump on would be a failure at the monthly A down at around 90.75.

BTW, all the yen pairs showed weak momentum on the 5 days heading into the monthly A levels.
 

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Quote from justrading:

Thanks Mav. Yes, the train left the station a while back. I only keep 1 eye on the major USD crosses.

EUR/GBP idea came about when I read that Soros is bullish on the Euro, then a couple of days later the news that the UK had slipped into a triple-dip recession. I figured if I looked at either against USD, then I would be factoring USD in whereas I was looking for a pure strong Euro / weak pound play. If I had jumped on it would have been for the last 2 days of the move and I prefer to enter on a pullback rather than chase.

Yesterday's pullback erased now, not sure if we have the makings of a range .8550-.8700

Your monthly A down is 8491. It needs to hold here. I don't have the number lines on this pair. So depending on those numbers that would determine if I would get long at that level.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

Your monthly A down is 8491. It needs to hold here. I don't have the number lines on this pair. So depending on those numbers that would determine if I would get long at that level.

Thanks Mav, does not seem to be holding at the A Down.

I don't use Fibonaccis, but putting them in from the July '12 low, we have broken through the 23.6% retracement, as well as the 20 day EMA.

Let's see where it calls a halt.
 
I finished the book, signed up for the free 30 month report, now what? Is there any worthwhile info in the seminars?

Btw didn't Fisher specifically say that the eurodollar lacked volatility?
 
Here is an update on the 30 day and 5 day for the various pairs I outlined last week.

30 Day

USD/JPY 11

GBP/JPY 13

EUR/JPY 14

AUD/JPY 19

EUR/AUD 6

5 Day

USD/JPY -2

GBP/JPY 7

EUR/JPY -3

AUD/JPY -2

EUR/AUD -3



You'll notice the GBP/JPY has taken over leadership and it's holding up the best on the charts and it's momentum is showing that with a +7.
 
On the equity side we have a QTR A confirm on the ES now. Looks like we are going to tag the monthly A up at least at 1527.

We also have a plus 11 on the 30 day. It looks like we are going to confirm.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

On the equity side we have a QTR A confirm on the ES now. Looks like we are going to tag the monthly A up at least at 1527.

We also have a plus 11 on the 30 day. It looks like we are going to confirm.

how long have you been following ACD?
 
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