The ACD Method

AMZN breaking out, (month and qtr levels). SHW new highs after a nice MAD trade, (been reviewing some of Fisher's strats in the book lately). LULU worked well off the weekly A down this week. Nice confirmed monthly there. Crude's numberline continues to look good despite yesterday's sell-off.

Just some of what I'm looking at here. Others to note, SGI, The Q's looking like a buy soon, (tech in general).
 
Quote from Maverick74:

I use 7:20 central time for the OR for Gold. I also use an hour confirmation! My day 10 day rolling A indicator is a plus 9! That means we have had 9 confirmed A ups or A downs in the last 10 days. Readings of 9 or higher are very very rare. We've had 6 A ups in Gold in the last 7 sessions!
More...

gotcha...sounds like you modified to suit your style...makes sense...i can see a similar pattern if i look at the data since the 15th...looks like +9...my 10day rolling would be a +7...so not too far off...it seems like simplifying the numberline probabaly works better for most ...i am tryin to chart a rolling numberline to see the bias change...seems like lots of ways to use the data
 
Quote from boze_man:

gotcha...sounds like you modified to suit your style...makes sense...i can see a similar pattern if i look at the data since the 15th...looks like +9...my 10day rolling would be a +7...so not too far off...it seems like simplifying the numberline probabaly works better for most ...i am tryin to chart a rolling numberline to see the bias change...seems like lots of ways to use the data
More...

No, my 10 day number was not a number line value. It's a measure of absolute A values. In other words, it measures volatility more then strength. There are many ways to use it. My day 5 rolling number line value for Gold is +10.

BTW, I got the idea of the absolute 10 day indicator from someone on this thread. That was a great idea!
 
Quote from Maverick74:

No, my 10 day number was not a number line value. It's a measure of absolute A values. In other words, it measures volatility more then strength. There are many ways to use it. My day 5 rolling number line value for Gold is +10.

BTW, I got the idea of the absolute 10 day indicator from someone on this thread. That was a great idea!
More...

So either A up or A down counts as 1. For a C day would you add 2 to the count? It would seem logical as that would be a pretty volatile day in itself.
 
Quote from justrading:

So either A up or A down counts as 1. For a C day would you add 2 to the count? It would seem logical as that would be a pretty volatile day in itself.
More...

No a C day is a 1 too. I'm just measuring solid A confirmations. Btw, I think it was Ammo's idea. Just want to give credit where it's due.
 
Some more number line fun...

As you can see, yesterday was the target in the 30 day H&S pattern at a 30 day value of 0. Additionally, the 5 day line was getting a little oversold, (typically it bounces between +5/-5, but can stretch to +/- 10 as well.

If the market holds here, we could be headed higher. Would love to see the 30 march back to +9, (Fisher's key value).

Just FYI, series 1 is the 30 day, and series 2 is the 5 day.
 

Attachments

Coffee?

Not sure, but KC looking like a failed qtr A down. Not a fantastic trade, (since I have it having confirmed the month A down)... Probably a better entry Friday, but only noticed it now...

Thoughts anyone? My guess, (in order to make it "show me") would be to grab some on a confirmed weekly?

The "failed" quarterly is a higher low given the prevailing downtrend there too.
 
On what time-frames does the main thread contributors prefer for their own ACD application?


Mav, it looks like you dabble w/ the daily charts.

Quon, I can't tell w/ your spread trading setup.

Kinggyppo, can't remember last time I saw a chart from you.


If I messed any of the regulars, forgive me.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top