The ACD Method

Coincidentally, in learning spreads, last night I was looking at "long"
those and other nat gas names and short nat gas for the year. Wow!

Can I get an opinion? You have said that the traders you have dealt with
that took home paychecks were generally good spreaders or something along those lines.

I wonder if those guys were skilled in a dozen or so spreads
they had a good feel for or, were they quant types trading their algos
where hundred/thousands spread candidates were considered?
I understand if this is too general a question...

Maybe what I want to hear is "Yah dont bother putting in the work.....just lurk around this thread and we will give you ideas" LOL.
 
Maybe a spread to keep in the back pocket. This trade may be over.

REITS may do well when investors seek high yeild better than that of notes.
REITS may do well as notes prices rise and yeilds fall.
REITS may do well when inflation expectations ( yeild destroying) are low.
REITS yeild a stream of income whose purchasing power is destroyed
by inflation/ higher yeilds.

REIT prices and note prices have a positive correlation.

LONG REITS/ SHORT YEILDS spread = LONG DRN/ LONG ZN

Hoping for trend in both long postions to continue (REITS to rise and yeilds to continue decreasing as has been the case recently).

Long ZN leg (short yeilds) provides cushion during market
selloffs efecting DRN reducing volatility.

Long DRN leg mayprovide some cushion when market rallies on good
economic news and ZN sells off as yeilds rise. Maybe DRN rallies with market.

Any thoughts on this. Is this a similar thought procees you go through to
put on the 3xUNG/USO spread ?

All you younger men are probably out doing things on a Saturday night.
OK now I'm jealous.
 
It looks like Tech is going to lead this market lower. Confirmed monthly A down and AAPL will probably crack as well.

Bonds approaching the monthly A up at 144'13.

We are at key levels everywhere across the board...ES, ZB, CL, AAPL, etc. The line in the sand is right here right now.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

It looks like Tech is going to lead this market lower. Confirmed monthly A down and AAPL will probably crack as well.

Bonds approaching the monthly A up at 144'13.

We are at key levels everywhere across the board...ES, ZB, CL, AAPL, etc. The line in the sand is right here right now.
More...

Hope you are right. That would be some good news:)
 
Quote from Quon:

SG,

The chart in LVS was posted prior to it's hitting 62.09 and turning downward. Unfortunately when you post a chart from Fin Viz it continues to update itself after the post date.

That shooting-starish top had not been put in when the chart was originally posted here, (and then it was put in just as Mav warned at the level he told you to watch). Just FYI...
More...

thank you
I've noticed :)
it doesn't matter but probably sample wasn't too good:
for that time the price flow made u-turn down and the main channel remains the same
i.e. simpliest model didn't changed and probably will continue to be the same until we will see strong sign of changes like destabilization of the main channel
 
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