Quote from medicsix:
Well I'm just getting back in to using ACD, so I don't have the full picture using the methodology.
However, based on some chart analysis:
I see increasing volume on the recent swing up to resistance. No blow off volume at resistance. A small pennant pattern on lower than average volume just under said resistance. Maybe get a retail holiday push. Maybe get a push from under performing fund managers chasing alpha. I'm thinking a little bullish, if resistance breaks.
One of my weakness is inter-market analysis, which is something I'm looking to add using ACD methods. And I suck at fundamentals.
Now all that being said, my job is to be the market's bitch. I go where it tells me. If it wants to go higher, I'll find a decent place to get in and let it take me there. If not, I'm more than willing to follow it lower. I like using ratio debit spreads, so I don't need entries to the tick or be johnny on the spot with breakouts.
I have little faith in my ability to PREDICT, but enough confidence in my ability to REACT with discipline and mitigate risk.