The ACD Method

Quote from Quon:

Did the market really just hand deliver another opportunity to short?

Wow, too much...

Last several post people were talking about "bouncing" off A's


leaves me guessing
 
Quote from pwrtrdr:

Last several post people were talking about "bouncing" off A's


leaves me guessing

That was 25 handles higher in the ES. What were you guessing about?
 
Quote from Maverick74:

That was 25 handles higher in the ES. What were you guessing about?

Why take that one or not over any other one.

How many filters.

Which time frame over anotehr

etc
 
Quote from pwrtrdr:

Why take that one or not over any other one.

How many filters.

Which time frame over anotehr

etc

It's the same time frame.

Let me see if this helps. All A levels are valid no matter what the time frame.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

It's the same time frame.

Let me see if this helps. All A levels are valid no matter what the time frame.

Let me see if this helps.

I agree what with you say. I have been unable to determine which A 's to take or not take. Hence I look for any means to figure it out!

Agree nearly impossible to model this method.

Maybe its simply spending 10k hours watching and understanding relationships in the markets that make A' more or a better risk reward than others. While hoping once you find them they stay intact
 
Quote from pwrtrdr:

Let me see if this helps.

I agree what with you say. I have been unable to determine which A 's to take or not take. Hence I look for any means to figure it out!

Agree nearly impossible to model this method.

Maybe its simply spending 10k hours watching and understanding relationships in the markets that make A' more or a better risk reward than others. While hoping once you find them they stay intact

If you have a specific example, I'll try to help.

Let me give an example. Say ES makes a monthly A up at 1150 on Thursday. you carry the trade into next week and we rally into the weekly A up at 1175 and fail there. That 1175 is where you want to get out.

Let's try another one. Say the ES rallies into the monthly A up at 1170 and the weekly A up is 1167 and the QTR A up is 1175. Lot of traffic here right? If you wanted to fade this move, I would be looking to sell anywhere between 1167 and 1175 provided we don't go through 1175. If we trade through it and confirm, you get out and move to the next trade. Don't try to re-sell it or scalp it or sell it at lower prices. Just move on. If we confirm above the monthly, then get long!

But yes, the 10k hours does help too. :)
 
Quote from Maverick74:

If you have a specific example, I'll try to help.

Let me give an example. Say ES makes a monthly A up at 1150 on Thursday. you carry the trade into next week and we rally into the weekly A up at 1175 and fail there. That 1175 is where you want to get out.

Let's try another one. Say the ES rallies into the monthly A up at 1170 and the weekly A up is 1167 and the QTR A up is 1175. Lot of traffic here right? If you wanted to fade this move, I would be looking to sell anywhere between 1167 and 1175 provided we don't go through 1175. If we trade through it and confirm, you get out and move to the next trade. Don't try to re-sell it or scalp it or sell it at lower prices. Just move on. If we confirm above the monthly, then get long!

But yes, the 10k hours does help too. :)

Ok, thanks.

Do you see a lot of trades you "like" week /month or however you prefer to view ?
 
Awesome thread. Unusual on this site. I haven't been able to figure out exactly how to calculate weekly and monthly A values. My best guess is:

Monthly: Place levels around the first day of the month based on whatever % of daily ATR one chooses to use

Weekly: Place levels around first hour or two of the week? Just using the hourly ATR seems to work decently well based on eyeballing some charts.

I'm not lazy, got the book coming the mail. Just got a little down time this weekend browsing some charts :)
 
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