The ACD Method

Quote from Maverick74:

You can do a search on this thread to get a detailed explanation of it. The short version is, it's a unique indicator from the ISE exchange that measures trader sentiment by taking the number of calls purchased over the number of puts. These are open only transactions and only retail flow. No market makers or firm orders. Also does not factor in spread orders. It measures the exuberance or lack there of in the market. When the reading is high,it's showing lots of spec call activity. When it's low it's showing everyone running to buy puts. Market reversals usually happen at extreme readings after a prolonged trend. The indicator is broken down into equity only, Index only and both. There has been a lot of discussion on this thread about it.

Thanks... I googled it before I asked and didn't find it right away.. That explains it... Its retail order flow put/call ratio basically... I have enough information to look up the rest..
 
Quote from Maverick74:

Wow. I saw the ISEE reading today and almost did a double take. We printed 161 on the composite reading. That's the highest reading of the year!!!!! Good lord. What are you guys doing. LOL. No one ever said War scared anyone in this country. I'm sure the volume totals are low today which might have skewed things a little bit, but my God is that a high reading to have as we are sitting on the swing lows.

I should add this came a day after one of the lower readings on the year at 83. The long term avg is around 100.

CBOE Equity Put/Call ratio for today is 0.34 which is remarkably low.
 
Quote from toolazy:

well, Syria war may not be that trivial

http://rt.com/op-edge/us-war-iran-begins-syria-096/
The war on Iran begins…in Syria

If US agenda is to crack Iran then Russia then China, why they all would not join to Syria war instead and get over with?

Guys, the reason why we use a methodology like ACD to begin with is to avoid the interpretation of the news. Nobody here, myself included, has no idea how the market is going to react to news. The market went on a huge upside tear after the assassination of JFK. And it's not because the market didn't like him, it's because it didn't matter.

Use the news as a sentiment lean against your levels. For example, I see my number lines getting stronger every day even though price is going lower and the news gets worse. So what do you think that means? Yes, this is a pop quiz. :)
 
Quote from Maverick74:

Guys, the reason why we use a methodology like ACD to begin with is to avoid the interpretation of the news. Nobody here, myself included, has no idea how the market is going to react to news. The market went on a huge upside tear after the assassination of JFK. And it's not because the market didn't like him, it's because it didn't matter.

Use the news as a sentiment lean against your levels. For example, I see my number lines getting stronger every day even though price is going lower and the news gets worse. So what do you think that means? Yes, this is a pop quiz. :)

look to go long. now, how to do that is another chapter :)

One can simply play all buy TA signals, like TL break or level break or buy on support, etc.
 
And sure enough in good old August fashion the ISEE goes from an extreme high to an extreme low, printing a 74 on the composite, one of the lowest readings in the last 12 months. In other words, It's August and the volumes are low enough to swing this thing all over the place.
 
Quote from toolazy:

look to go long. now, how to do that is another chapter :)

One can simply play all buy TA signals, like TL break or level break or buy on support, etc.

Exactly, too lazy. Random long entries also work just as well when the forces are bullish. Just be sure to close the position if it drops below your stop level---or if you are certain of the bullish forces or catalyst pending soon -- you could double down -- but only as far as you can take the heat if wrong!

surf
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

Exactly, too lazy. Random long entries also work just as well when the forces are bullish. Just be sure to close the position if it drops below your stop level---or if you are certain of the bullish forces or catalyst pending soon -- you could double down -- but only as far as you can take the heat if wrong!

surf

so, if what you saying is correct then best buy is on dip. at least one has mean reversion on his side.

but then if you stopped and do what ? buy again where ?

I do think ta may be actually useful here as many will take notice & act and gives you some kind of feedback of whether your plan holds water.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

I'm reiterating my buy on US Steel (X). I think we are going to tag 21 by end of QTR and 24 to 25 by year end.

Intriguing call Mav. I noticed that X has been sideways this month, but NYMEX steel is up $30/ton during the same period. Maybe that's showing up in X's number line?
 
X is in a severe downtrend in many long term timeframes, in more short term timeframes is in a severe range.

Never understood the fascination for buying a downtrend without an uptrend to back your long play.

X needs to do a lot of bullish stuff before I consider it a buy signal.

Not because it cannot go up, but because there's safer, better plays out there.
 
Back
Top