I thought there are no certainties when trying to predict the future. It is the only factor that keeps things somewhat leveled for all players...the unknown unknowns. So all you have left is just probabilities and distribution models.
Not exactly. In trading, there are certainties. Virtually no retail knows about the edges real props/banks have.
Trading isn't what it appears to be.
If you've never been inside, you wouldn't know. It's not exactly published, and reading research reports only gets you so far.
Banks to be specific, or the "one bank," if you happen to read zero hedge, trade with each other to manipulate prices without risking losses. They're protected by regulators whom they "own." I'm positive a quick google search will clear things up.
Dive into the research the Pujo Committee conducted, and open up your way of thinking. It's there if you look long enough.
Edges?
Hell, I even have a few. And, who am I?
Nobody. My edges are not 80% success rates. My edges are a 100% certainty, and those aren't the only edges available.
My only limitations are capital and relationships.
I have proof of concept, but there isn't a way in hell I'd give it away without an NDA & an arm. If you know anyone that isn't fluff, I'm open for negotiations.