The ACD Method

Quote from kinggyppo:

Spy had a wide opening range on the ten minute chart, guess what? so did just about every chart in the index. Pull up the oex and look at each ten minute chart, they are just about all the same. What does reversion to the mean really mean to a new trader. Its hard enough to make money without all these complicated fu*&in investment banker terms. ACD is supposed to help you with your bias and keep you from being the "faceplate on the train" otherwise what is the point?

Somewhere in market wizards is a story about a guy starting on the floor back in the day, and he is getting out of a losing position over and over again. I forget the exact quote. This escaped me the first time I read it, the point was they were trying to induce muscle memory aversion to losses, wrong get out, wrong get out, trend, ride that till the end of time. All the great ones have that same ability and even some of the great ones blew out. Its all in Larry Hites' chapter in market wizards, that's all you need really. What's my bias for tomorrow right now, up/green why? cause the es is up that's why....:)


http://people.brandeis.edu/~yanzp/Study Notes/Market Wizards.pdf

No trading today, sitting in the library cramming at the moment. I agree these terms just complicate the issue. If the market makes the A-down or A-up, your bias changes. If I am looking to buy low, I am looking at the failed A-down. If the market breaks through the a level, my bias changes and I don't even think about buying, maybe even sell :).
 
Quote from kinggyppo:

"Valuable indicators: if a market doesn’t respond to important news in the way that it should, it is telling you something very important. Secondly, when a market makes a historic high, it is telling you something. No matter how many people tell you why the market shouldn’t be that high, or why nothing has changed, the mere fact that the price is at a new high tells you something has changed"

Larry Hite Market Wizards

sound familiar?

Definitely...just reading over today's headlines. Market is holding in decently despite the news out from europe. No agreement on the most important part of the deal, bank writedowns and backstops!

Long anything? lol
 
Quote from Shanb:

Does anybody have an indicator to plot A-levels on thinkorswim(specified to your parameters). I'm finding it cumbersome to put new a-levels on every symbol that I am watching or pull up!

Suggestion, run a scan of all you follow, check largest ATR, and follow that.
 
SINA is a beast! Nice find...that thing moves like a freight train!

How do you scan for the OR ratio?

Here's Bidu today...failed A, target at the VWAP.
 

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Quote from Maverick74:

RCG, are you watching USD/TRY? Nice solid breakdown going on. This trade might have some legs.

Not yet, resetting dbases so that charts reflect the home market. Esignal has some lags for a few minutes at times. Only if you put nutty demands on the system like I do.

So when I get my USD database completed, I will look at it. BTW Mav, are you also looking at the demarcation so some of the exotic pairs? Some of them move in ten pip increments, so when you normalize this data, the move really isn't that big.....just sayin.
 
Quote from RCG Trader:

Suggestion, run a scan of all you follow, check largest ATR, and follow that.

RCG..are you watching USD/TRY? I'm trying to throw you a 50 lb bone here. :)
 
Quote from Shanb:

SINA is a beast! Nice find...that thing moves like a freight train!

How do you scan for the OR ratio?

Here's Bidu today...failed A, target at the VWAP.

This will be a sin, but BIDU and SINA are Hershey stocks.

Just doing the more than one way to skin a cat thingy.
 
Quote from Shanb:

SINA is a beast! Nice find...that thing moves like a freight train!

How do you scan for the OR ratio?

Here's Bidu today...failed A, target at the VWAP.

Ahh, I see part of the issue here. You are using wider OR. I have a nice confirmed A down in BIDU with great follow through. Stock came in 3 1/2 pts after it went through my A down. No wonder you are not finding good A downs!!!!! Christ man. We were talking apples and oranges. Yes, if you set your OR wide enough, then all you will find are fades! Use a 5 min OR "if" you want to find good confirmed A trades. :)
 
Quote from Maverick74:

RCG..are you watching USD/TRY? I'm trying to throw you a 50 lb bone here. :)

Mav, you have already thrown all the bones I need. One reason why I go neutral on you in fight club.:D
 
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