The 95% consensus is now just 43%

You are a piece detritus fc. calling people liars who post peer reviewed science...



Climate Consensus and ‘Misinformation’: A Rejoinder to Agnotology, Scientific Consensus, and the Teaching and Learning of Climate Change


David R. Legates, Willie Soon, William M. Briggs, Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11191-013-9647-9

Abstract

Agnotology is the study of how ignorance arises via circulation of misinformation calculated to mislead. Legates et al. (Sci Educ 22:2007–2017, 2013) had questioned the applicability of agnotology to politically-charged debates. In their reply, Bedford and Cook (Sci Educ 22:2019–2030, 2013), seeking to apply agnotology to climate science, asserted that fossil-fuel interests had promoted doubt about a climate consensus. Their definition of climate ‘misinformation’ was contingent upon the post-modernist assumptions that scientific truth is discernible by measuring a consensus among experts, and that a near unanimous consensus exists. However, inspection of a claim by Cook et al. (Environ Res Lett 8:024024, 2013) of 97.1 % consensus, heavily relied upon by Bedford and Cook, shows just 0.3 % endorsement of the standard definition of consensus: that most warming since 1950 is anthropogenic. Agnotology, then, is a two-edged sword since either side in a debate may claim that general ignorance arises from misinformation allegedly circulated by the other. Significant questions about anthropogenic influences on climate remain. Therefore, Legates et al. appropriately asserted that partisan presentations of controversies stifle debate and have no place in education.



Ha ha MONCKTON!!!!!!!!!!!!! LOL... He's perhaps the only person on earth more fucked up than you are!!! Maybe you like him because he looks like you? lol


lord_mokton_2.jpg
 
You have been insulting people for years on this forum while re-posting the same material over & over hundreds of time - never anything new. Obviously you are not capable of having a rational discussion about climate change - nor are you capable of interpreting scientific data... much less read the sources that someone posts if you disagree with it - yet you spew the same rebutted talking points continuously.
Mxgaz4r.gif


Don't want to be insulted? Don't be a lying deluded douchebag. Simple. I only insult those who deserve it. You richly do.
 
97 Articles Refuting The "97% Consensus"
http://www.populartechnology.net/2014/12/97-articles-refuting-97-consensus.html

Do really believe that humans have a 97% consensus on any topic? Do you actually believe that scientists have a 97% consensus on AGW. Have you read Dr. Judith Curry's feedback about this nonsense (she is the head of of the Climate Department at Georgia Tech).

The only time we see a 97% consensus is when a dictator holds an election. Of course, anyone voting against them is imprisoned or shot.

Nearly each article on the false classification from Cook contains a different list of scientists stating their papers were not properly classified. This is because the response to this came over a number of months as different media sources contacted different scientists.

------------------

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/...cent_claim_four_problems_with_cook_and_obama/

I emailed a sample of scientists who’s papers were used in the study and asked them if the categorization by Cook et al. (2013) is an accurate representation of their paper. Their responses are eye opening and evidence that the Cook et al. (2013) team falsely classified scientists’ papers as “endorsing AGW"…


Craig D. Idso, Ph.D. Geography; Chairman, Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change


Dr. Idso, your paper ‘Ultra-enhanced spring branch growth in CO2-enriched trees: can it alter the phase of the atmosphere’s seasonal CO2 cycle?’ is categorized by Cook et al. (2013) as; “Implicitly endorsing AGW without minimizing it”.

Is this an accurate representation of your paper?

Idso: “That is not an accurate representation of my paper. The papers examined how the rise in atmospheric CO2 could be inducing a phase advance in the spring portion of the atmosphere’s seasonal CO2 cycle. Other literature had previously claimed a measured advance was due to rising temperatures, but we showed that it was quite likely the rise in atmospheric CO2 itself was responsible for the lion’s share of the change. It would be incorrect to claim that our paper was an endorsement of CO2-induced global warming.”


Nicola Scafetta, Ph.D. Physics; Research Scientist, ACRIM Science Team


Dr. Scafetta, your paper ‘Phenomenological solar contribution to the 1900–2000 global surface warming’ is categorized by Cook et al. (2013) as; “Explicitly endorses and quantifies AGW as 50+%”

Is this an accurate representation of your paper?

Scafetta: “Cook et al. (2013) is based on a strawman argument because it does not correctly define the IPCC AGW theory, which is NOT that human emissions have contributed 50%+ of the global warming since 1900 but that almost 90-100% of the observed global warming was induced by human emission.

What my papers say is that the IPCC view is erroneous because about 40-70% of the global warming observed from 1900 to 2000 was induced by the sun....

Please note that it is very important to clarify that the AGW advocated by the IPCC has always claimed that 90-100% of the warming observed since 1900 is due to anthropogenic emissions. While critics like me have always claimed that the data would approximately indicate a 50-50 natural-anthropogenic contribution at most...”


Nir J. Shaviv, Ph.D. Astrophysics; Associate Professor, Racah Institute of Physics, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel


Dr. Shaviv, your paper ‘On climate response to changes in the cosmic ray flux and radiative budget’ is categorized by Cook et al. (2013) as; “Explicitly endorses but does not quantify or minimise”

Is this an accurate representation of your paper?

Shaviv: “Nope… it is not an accurate representation. The paper shows that if cosmic rays are included in empirical climate sensitivity analyses, then one finds that different time scales consistently give a low climate sensitiviity. i.e., it supports the idea that cosmic rays affect the climate and that climate sensitivity is low. This means that part of the 20th century should be attributed to the increased solar activity and that 21st century warming under a business as usual scenario should be low (about 1°C)…

Science is not a democracy, even if the majority of scientists think one thing (and it translates to more papers saying so), they aren’t necessarily correct. Moreover, as you can see from the above example, the analysis itself is faulty, namely, it doesn’t even quantify correctly the number of scientists or the number of papers which endorse or diminish the importance of AGW.”

1. You made a specific claim earlier, that "hundreds of scientists" stated that their papers were misclassified, misquoted, etc. Every link you provide ends up quoting the same 8 or so scientists, nowhere near the "hundreds" you asserted earlier. Please source this number.

2. Regarding the consensus question, I agree that getting absolute consensus at a level of 97% is difficult with humans. However, I would guess that for something like say, gravity, we certainly have a (near) 100% consensus among not only scientists but among the general public.

Climate Scientists, as a body, tend very strongly to agree that AGW exists and is effecting life on this planet. There is, of course, disagreement on the degree of the human influence.

3. My next question for you is this: Why do you fight so hard against the idea of AGW? Personally, I find AGW very concerning and downright inconvenient (thank you, Mr. Gore), and I would LOVE if some scientist or group of scientist could disprove it. But none have yet done so and as a responsible adult, I cannot pretend it is not happening.

(I numbered my responses in an effort to keep the conversation on track)
 
1. You made a specific claim earlier, that "hundreds of scientists" stated that their papers were misclassified, misquoted, etc. Every link you provide ends up quoting the same 8 or so scientists, nowhere near the "hundreds" you asserted earlier. Please source this number.

2. Regarding the consensus question, I agree that getting absolute consensus at a level of 97% is difficult with humans. However, I would guess that for something like say, gravity, we certainly have a (near) 100% consensus among not only scientists but among the general public.

Climate Scientists, as a body, tend very strongly to agree that AGW exists and is effecting life on this planet. There is, of course, disagreement on the degree of the human influence.

3. My next question for you is this: Why dwo you fight so hard against the idea of AGW? Personally, I find AGW very concerning and downright inconvenient (thank you, Mr. Gore), and I would LOVE if some scientist or group of scientist could disprove it. But none have yet done so and as a responsible adult, I cannot pretend it is not happening.

(I numbered my responses in an effort to keep the conversation on track)

I will be polite and attempt to answer your questions above.

1. As noted earlier over 300 scientists have come out stating their papers are mis-classified - most have multiple papers. You are welcome to go through the many articles on google and create an entire list. After you have done so - please feel free to post the entire list of scientists to this forum. Each article outlines a few dissenting scientists - there are many of them out there. You wanted a number - the number is currently at 300 and increasing.

2. The actual surveys (many of them posted in these forums) in recent years show a consensus on AGW among scientists of a mere 53% and dropping each year. Why do politicians and advocates only quote the fabricated "97% Consensus" figure which is solely supported by only two items - by the Doran survey (77 out of 79 scientists - when pruned down from over 3000 responders), and the Cook evaluation of scientific papers which fails on many levels. Why are the many other surveys on global warming ignored? Well let me answer, it does not support their politics.

3. The reason to fight against AGW is because it undermines the integrity of science for political purposes and drives failed public policy which misspends money. "Climate Change" is a $1.5 Trillion per year industry built around a problem that does not exist. A far greater danger to mankind is natural global cooling (which is around the corner). There are many obvious environmental issues where "green" money could be better spent such as pollution, hard-particle pollution from smokestacks (not CO2), coastal fisheries, limiting development in ecologically critical areas, and preservation of natural lands via parks, etc.

Sadly many of the "green" initiatives I support including solar, wind, micro-grid, back-metering, electric cars, smoke-stack scrubbers, and preserving rivers/coastal areas are undermined by AGW - causing the real problems not be focused on. Imagine if the $1.5 Trillion per year were used to address these problems plus the issues facing people such food, clean water, shelter, and medical care world-wide.

"Climate Change" is merely a money-making grab for hedge funds (Al Gore's GIM as an example), consulting firms, and government grant receivers - all of them driving flawed science to support the money in their pocket.

Around 2040 or so - AGW will be viewed as the largest scientific fraud of the previous century.
 
Since you brought up Al Gore - let's outline his hedge fund activity again...

It's time to discuss the hundreds of millions that Al Gore made via his global warming hedge funds.

Generation Investment Management (GIM) was co-founded in 2004 by David Blood and Al Gore. Website - http://www.generationim.com/

Generation Global Equity Fund has $6 Billion in assets under management in early 2011 and is said to return more than 50% during the 12 months ending in March 2010.
http://www.insidermonkey.com/hedge-fund/generation+investment+management/146/

Filings indicate that for an non-operational role, Al Gore gets 0.5% of assets under management each year and 5% of the profits. This amounts $30 Million each year in asset under management fees and an average of $60 Million each year in performance fees over the life of the fund (it has had an average of a 19% return). Of course, these fees have built up over time as the fund grew after inception in 2004.

The fund was established in 2004 before he departed on his "Inconvenient Truth" film and tour in 2006 with the obvious intent of creating a scare that would drive money to the fund and it's carbon credit trading schemes. IMDb - Inconvenient Truth: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0497116/

In 2008, Al Gore invests $35 million with the Capricorn Investment Group. "That'€™s a big wad of cash for someone who reported barely $2 million in assets in 2000, when his job as vice president came to an end."
http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/03/06/al-gores-big-investment/

Al Gore'€™s Inconvenient Loot
http://riehlworldview.com/2007/03/al_gores_inconv.html

Al Gore has thrived as green-tech investor
http://articles.washingtonpost.com/...02345_1_clean-energy-clean-tech-firms-al-gore
"Just before leaving public office in 2001, Gore reported assets of less than $2 million; today, his wealth is estimated at $100 million." (Actually other news reports indicate his wealth in 2012 was over $250 Million before getting $100M more in his recent Current TV deal.)

You can make the case that Al Gore is a very savvy business person who has generated out-sized returns for investors and significant wealth for himself. The reality is his fund can more properly be described as "Green Cronyism". Since 2008, most of the firms invested in by the fund had funding from the Obama administration. Of the 11 companies he mentioned in his 2008 slide show (e.g. Iberdrola Renovables), nine received or directly benefited from stimulus or clean energy funding.

The Obama administration also supported the carbon credit trading scheme that makes a significant amount of the fund's trading profits (Note that Al Gore is upset with the lukewarm support from the Obama Administration for a carbon-market. He hoped to drive most of his profits from this, but now had to turn to crony-capitalism investment in politically-connected green companies).

Bottom Line: Al Gore creates a hedge fund where he has no day-to-day operational role and then pushes the "Inconvenient Truth" to drive money for the fund. It is hard to made the case that Al Gore is driven by personal charity, true environmentalism (how about all those jet rides) or any type of real belief about 'global warming' --- it is all about making money... something he has been very successful at since leaving office.
 
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you will are unworthy of direct response going forward. you contribute nothing but troll detritus.

Ha ha MONCKTON!!!!!!!!!!!!! LOL... He's perhaps the only person on earth more fucked up than you are!!! Maybe you like him because he looks like you? lol


lord_mokton_2.jpg
 
I will be polite and attempt to answer your questions above.

1. As noted earlier over 300 scientists have come out stating their papers are mis-classified - most have multiple papers. You are welcome to go through the many articles on google and create an entire list. After you have done so - please feel free to post the entire list of scientists to this forum. Each article outlines a few dissenting scientists - there are many of them out there. You wanted a number - the number is currently at 300 and increasing.

2. The actual surveys (many of them posted in these forums) in recent years show a consensus on AGW among scientists of a mere 53% and dropping each year. Why do politicians and advocates only quote the fabricated "97% Consensus" figure which is solely supported by only two items - by the Doran survey (77 out of 79 scientists - when pruned down from over 3000 responders), and the Cook evaluation of scientific papers which fails on many levels. Why are the many other surveys on global warming ignored? Well let me answer, it does not support their politics.

3. The reason to fight against AGW is because it undermines the integrity of science for political purposes and drives failed public policy which misspends money. "Climate Change" is a $1.5 Trillion per year industry built around a problem that does not exist. A far greater danger to mankind is natural global cooling (which is around the corner). There are many obvious environmental issues where "green" money could be better spent such as pollution, hard-particle pollution from smokestacks (not CO2), coastal fisheries, limiting development in ecologically critical areas, and preservation of natural lands via parks, etc.

Sadly many of the "green" initiatives I support including solar, wind, micro-grid, back-metering, electric cars, smoke-stack scrubbers, and preserving rivers/coastal areas are undermined by AGW - causing the real problems not be focused on. Imagine if the $1.5 Trillion per year were used to address these problems plus the issues facing people such food, clean water, shelter, and medical care world-wide.

"Climate Change" is merely a money-making grab for hedge funds (Al Gore's GIM as an example), consulting firms, and government grant receivers - all of them driving flawed science to support the money in their pocket.

Around 2040 or so - AGW will be viewed as the largest scientific fraud of the previous century.


Yup, you're a complete fucking moron. Reaaaalllly stupid. I really can't call you a liar. You're just an idiot.
 
Yup, you're a complete fucking moron. Reaaaalllly stupid. I really can't call you a liar. You're just an idiot.

David S - this is what is passed off as rational discourse by AGW pushers.

This is why rational, educated, intelligent skeptics on ET have very little tolerance of Climate Change advocates in these forums.
 
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