Peace. I'm sure all the pricinciples are applicable to anyone who is gambling. And who is not gambling? My mother gambled that when she sent me into the unknown (first day at school) I would return no worse for the wear, and maybe even better.A sure thing in your mind is meaningless unless it is also a sure thing in reality. I've had two sure-thing bets in my life and won both of them. That's because the sure things didn't only exist in my mind. One involved a detailed school matter which I won't go into. But the other idiot who bet against me was certain that the first Friday the 13th movie came out before the first Halloween movie. I KNEW he was wrong, but I didn't press the advantage of my sure thing because I didn't want to make an enemy at my workplace. The piker set the bet at $5 and I agreed. He acted like he had the sure thing but considering the size of the bet, maybe he wasn't so sure afterall.
Having a sure thing in your mind means nothing. Better be sure it's a sure thing in reality.
My only point was somebody tried to make a distinction between gambling and trading. And the pikers think they can outsmart the market with Kelly position sizing. The only one who is not gambling is the guy lost in his delusional notion that he is right. And every so often, one of them hits it big which just perpetuates the myth.
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) a lot of people believe in it