I have a blog that I have been posting my ideas on cycles. If anyone wouldn't mind stopping by, I would love to know what you think about them. (I don't get many comments).
But basically, I've been putting together some market timing guidlines based on a 4-year cycle, a 6-month seasonal cycle, and now a 40-year cycle. I believe beginning in October 2006, we will be entering the last 4-year cycle of the 40 year cycle. This has been associated with a negative return each time it has occured (twice). First, ending in 1930, then ending in 1970. The first 4-year cycle of a 40 year cycle is also a bad time to be long (also negative returns).
Well, I won't continue to bore you here, you can go to my blog for that
http://freestyletrader.blogspot.com/
I only heard about a 4-year cycle for the first time a month ago. And I would like to learn more on the subject of cycles, so please share comments and knowledge you many have. thanks.
But basically, I've been putting together some market timing guidlines based on a 4-year cycle, a 6-month seasonal cycle, and now a 40-year cycle. I believe beginning in October 2006, we will be entering the last 4-year cycle of the 40 year cycle. This has been associated with a negative return each time it has occured (twice). First, ending in 1930, then ending in 1970. The first 4-year cycle of a 40 year cycle is also a bad time to be long (also negative returns).
Well, I won't continue to bore you here, you can go to my blog for that
http://freestyletrader.blogspot.com/
I only heard about a 4-year cycle for the first time a month ago. And I would like to learn more on the subject of cycles, so please share comments and knowledge you many have. thanks.