Recap from Friday, June 6
Following are Charles Cochran's comments regarding Friday's ZB trading action.
F4 Comments: Todayâs recommendation was a news day trade. News day trades are handled by entering the market on the first setback w/the news. If the high/lows hold on the retest, exit this trade. The news was bullish. The setback trade worked. The software correctly signaled when to buy and what price. Know what you want to do, engage the market at a favorable level, a price that offers some advantage, when the F3/4 screens signal an entry. Trading strategy correctly handled a high risk trading situation. The software got you into the trade advantageously.
One pattern that repeats regularly is the retracement from a R3 or S3 level back to the R2 or S2. The purpose of the levels, which are set based on volume and Market Profile chart interpretation, are as follows:
R1/S1 - agressive entry that insures you get in
R2/S2 - conservative entry
R3/S3 - typically about a basis point from the previous day's close. These are seldom hit.
On Friday, the R3 was 114.08/12, the R2 was 113.24/28. At 9:30 EST the market shot up from 113.225 to 114.09 (18 1/2 32nds or $578 per 1 lot) in a matter of 15 minutes. This was a new daily high and there was very little retracement between the bars. It appeared that the market would continue, but instead, after hitting the R3, it reversed and 15 minutes later hit the R2 at 113.24.
This is clearly a pattern worth watching.